Fantasy Football Week 16 Recap: Immediate takeaways & analysis for every game

Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins (85) runs for a first down against Baltimore Ravens inside linebacker Josh Bynes (56) during the second quarter at Paul Brown Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joseph Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports

The fantasy football semifinals offered plenty of action for fantasy managers in Week 16. Those who used the waiver wire in recent weeks benefited greatly from big days by the likes of Ronald Jones, Justin Jackson, Rex Burkhead, Alexander Mattison and Sony Michel.

PFF's fantasy football recap focuses on player usage and stats, breaking down all the vital information you need to achieve fantasy success in 2021.

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Table Notes
  • Snaps include plays called back due to penalties like offensive holding or defensive pass interference. The other three stats have these plays removed.
  • Targets may differ from official NFL sources. The most likely discrepancy would be from a clear thrown away pass, where the NFL may give the target to the nearest receiver, while this data will not.
  • Carries are only on designed plays. Quarterback scrambles won’t count for the total number of carries in the game.

TB @ CAR | LAC @ HOU | BAL @ CIN | NYG @ PHI | JAX @ NYJ | LAR @ MIN | BUF @ NE | DET @ ATL | CHI @ SEA | DEN @ LV | PIT @ KC | WFT @ DAL |

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers

  • Ronald Jones: 20 carries, 65 yards, (53 yards after contact), 1 TD, 2 receptions, 16 receiving yards
  • Antonio Brown: 10 receptions, 101 receiving yards, (51.8% threat rate)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
Cyril Grayson 53 25 3 2
Antonio Brown 53 27 14 0
Tyler Johnson 36 22 0 0
Scotty Miller 3 1 1 0
TE
Rob Gronkowski 60 28 2 0
Cameron Brate 31 17 4 0
O.J. Howard 24 8 1 0
HB
Ronald Jones 35 9 3 20
Ke'Shawn Vaughn 24 12 1 7
Le'Veon Bell 3 1 0 2
Total 67 32 29 31

 

Carolina Panthers Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
Robby Anderson 67 51 10 0
D.J. Moore 60 47 9 0
Terrace Marshall Jr. 41 34 1 0
Shi Smith 15 14 4 0
C.J. Saunders 5 4 0 0
Alex Erickson 3 1 1 0
TE
Tommy Tremble 41 24 3 0
Ian Thomas 24 9 1 0
Stephen Sullivan 17 14 1 0
HB
Chuba Hubbard 34 15 1 6
Ameer Abdullah 23 15 6 2
Reggie Bonnafon 14 8 2 1
Total 70 53 40 14

The Buccaneers' changing wide receivers: The Buccaneers experienced several changes at wide receiver over the last week with Chris Godwin landing on injured reserve and Mike Evans week to week with a hamstring injury. Antonio Brown returned from suspension to take one of the receiver spots. When everyone was healthy, Brown would only play in three receiver sets. He was able to stay on the field nearly every play in this game, giving him a higher ceiling than usual.

Cyril Grayson leaped over a few other receivers on the depth chart to take the other starting role. The journeyman has spent just over two years with the Buccaneers on and off their practice squad. He caught a 62-yard pass in this game and ended up with 81 yards on three catches. It’s possible Evans is able to play next week or that Breshad Perriman is activated off the Covid-19 list and takes that spot, so Grayson isn’t a great waiver wire option. Even if he starts one more week, the matchup against the Jets secondary isn’t all that favorable.

The Buccaneers without Leonard Fournette: Fournette landed on injured reserve after an injury to his hamstring. Ronald Jones was one of the most popular waiver wire pickups last week. He put up a solid game with a touchdown, but Ke’shawn Vaughn was also productive. Vaughn was the third down back and was utilized in other clear passing situations. He broke a 55-yard run for a touchdown in the first quarter, which helped him lead the team in rushing yards. Jones is still worth starting next week, but Vaughn limits his upside.

Avoid the Panthers running backs: Carolina’s run game was completely ineffective against the Buccaneers' run defense. All three running backs were held to single-digit rushing yards. Reggie Bonnafon hadn’t seen any offensive snaps all season and ended up leading the group in receiving yards. All of his snaps occurred in the last five minutes of the game when Carolina no longer had a chance at winning. Next week they face the New Orleans Saints, who have allowed the fewest fantasy points to running backs.


Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans

  • Rex Burkhead: 22 carries, 149 yards, 2 TD, (4.8 yards after contact per carry), 2 receptions, 0 receiving yards
  • Justin Jackson: 11 carries, 64 yards, 2 TD, 8 receptions, 98 receiving yards, (27.6% threat rate)
Los Angeles Chargers Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
Josh Palmer 60 39 6 0
Keenan Allen 55 34 5 0
Jason Moore 45 31 4 0
Michael Bandy 10 9 0 0
Maurice Ffrench 2 0 0 1
TE
Jared Cook 39 27 5 0
Stephen Anderson 22 6 2 0
Tre' McKitty 15 4 1 0
HB
Justin Jackson 45 28 8 11
Joshua Kelley 17 10 1 5
Total 62 40 32 17

 

Houston Texans Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
Chris Conley 50 24 3 0
Nico Collins 45 21 4 0
Chris Moore 31 10 4 0
Phillip Dorsett 23 16 6 0
Jalen Camp 22 5 0 0
TE
Pharaoh Brown 46 12 3 0
Brevin Jordan 32 17 4 0
Antony Auclair 21 3 0 0
Jordan Akins 1 1 1 0
HB
Rex Burkhead 42 15 2 22
Royce Freeman 24 7 0 12
Jaylen Samuels 1 0 0 0
Total 68 28 27 36

The Chargers without Austin Ekeler: Ekeler landed on the Covid-19 list a week ago, forcing him to miss his first game of the season. Justin Jackson took the role as the lead back, as expected, with Joshua Kelley functioning as the primary backup. Jackson led the team in both rushing yards and receiving yards. He also scored two touchdowns, making any fantasy manager who trusted him very happy. He would be a must-start next week if Ekeler misses another game but can be dropped the second Ekeler is off the Covid-19 list.

Add Rex Burkhead: The veteran RB has been the top back in Houston for a few weeks but had a particularly good game today. Backup David Johnson was out with a quad injury, allowing Burkhead to dominate the carries. He took advantage of the Chargers run defense to put up his best game of the season. Houston has a decent matchup against the 49ers run defense next week. He probably isn’t someone to put immediately into starting lineups but is a good backup option if Covid-19 hits too many players.

The Chargers are thin at wide receiver: Mike Williams was placed on the Covid-19 list, leaving him out for both this week and next. Jalen Guyton was also placed on the Covid-19 list. This allowed rookie Joshua Palmer to work as the top outside wide receiver, while Jason Moore also saw his first significant action of the season. The Chargers spread the ball around a lot, so none of them had a great game. Palmer had the best performance with five catches for 43 yards and a touchdown. The rookie will likely start again in a tough matchup against the Broncos next week.


Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals

  • Tee Higgins: 12 receptions, 194 yards, 2 TD, (10 other catches were all first downs)
  • Mark Andrews: 8 receptions, 125 yards, 1 TD, (4 explosive plays)
Baltimore Ravens Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
Marquise Brown 54 41 9 0
Rashod Bateman 48 40 5 0
James Proche 28 26 8 0
Tylan Wallace 27 21 2 0
Miles Boykin 3 1 0 0
Sammy Watkins 3 2 0 0
TE
Mark Andrews 47 34 10 0
Nick Boyle 17 5 0 0
Eric Tomlinson 12 4 0 0
Tony Poljan 6 6 0 0
HB
Devonta Freeman 33 20 2 6
Latavius Murray 17 11 1 5
Total 59 43 37 14

 

Cincinnati Bengals Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
Ja'Marr Chase 69 47 9 0
Tyler Boyd 69 45 4 0
Tee Higgins 64 44 13 0
Stanley Morgan Jr. 15 7 0 0
Trent Taylor 1 1 0 0
TE
C.J. Uzomah 49 34 7 0
Drew Sample 32 14 2 0
Mitchell Wilcox 3 1 0 0
HB
Joe Mixon 62 32 6 18
Samaje Perine 11 9 2 0
Chris Evans 3 2 1 1
Total 76 50 44 20

Rashod Bateman trending up: The first-round rookie’s playing time has been limited throughout the season anytime Sammy Watkins has been healthy. Watkins missed last week while on the Covid-19 list, and Bateman played over 70% of offensive snaps for the first time in his career. Watkins was back this week but only played three offensive snaps. This allowed Bateman to see over 70% of offensive snaps for the second straight week. He caught four of five passes thrown his way for 26 yards and a touchdown. Those aren’t great numbers, but the Ravens were using their third-string quarterback.

This might not mean much for 2021 but makes it more likely Watkins leaves in free agency this offseason, making Bateman a clear starter in 2022.

Start your Bengals: The Bengals offense had an incredible day. Joe Burrow had the fourth-most passing yards in a game in NFL history. All three of his wide receivers had over 85 receiving yards. Their player usage all season has been the same, with all five starters consistently seeing a vast majority of snaps when healthy. Next week they play Kansas City, which has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks this season.


New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles

  • DeVonta Smith: 5 receptions, 80 yards, 1 TD, (15.0 aDOT)
  • Boston Scott: 12 carries, 41 yards, 1 TD, (2.3 yards after contact per carry)
New York Giants Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
Darius Slayton 61 39 4 0
Kenny Golladay 61 42 8 0
Kadarius Toney 39 27 8 0
Pharoh Cooper 36 27 1 0
David Sills 15 11 1 0
TE
Evan Engram 59 41 5 0
Kyle Rudolph 17 9 1 0
Chris Myarick 10 6 2 0
HB
Devontae Booker 41 28 4 6
Saquon Barkley 26 10 1 15
Total 76 51 39 22

 

Philadelphia Eagles Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
DeVonta Smith 54 28 6 0
Quez Watkins 51 26 3 0
Jalen Reagor 32 20 3 0
J.J. Arcega-Whiteside 13 5 0 0
Greg Ward 8 1 0 0
TE
Dallas Goedert 53 22 4 0
Jack Stoll 26 3 0 0
Tyree Jackson 14 5 1 0
HB
Jordan Howard 22 10 3 9
Boston Scott 20 5 0 12
Miles Sanders 19 10 3 8
Kenneth Gainwell 2 2 1 0
Total 63 30 25 31

Monitor the health of the Eagles running backs: Miles Sanders was the clear lead back for Philadelphia despite not practicing all week with a quad injury. He had a solid start to the game with 45 yards on seven carries but suffered a hand injury late in the first half, which kept him out the rest of the game. All three other backs saw some snaps in the first half, with Jordan Howard as the top backup.

Howard was the main back in the third quarter and start of the fourth, with Boston Scott seeing significant playing time. Howard suffered what the Eagles described as a stringer, which left Scott to finish off the end of the fourth quarter. Both Howard and Scott are worthy waiver wire pickups in case Sanders isn’t able to play next week.

Saquon Barkley trending down: Barkley had a disappointing 32 rushing yards on 15 carries, with his rushing production declining each game over the past month. The Giants turned to Devonta Booker more often than usual, including typically using him on third downs. Barkley had a slight lead in offensive snaps through three quarters. The Giants stuck with Booker for the entire fourth quarter with the game out of reach, giving Booker a clear lead in snaps. It will be difficult to start the former All-Pro next week. He will be one of the biggest high-risk, high-reward players in 2022 redraft leagues.

The return of Kadarius Toney: The Giants rookie receiver had two straight excellent games with 16 carries for 267 yards in that stretch but has failed to stay healthy since then. He played part time in a few games but missed just over a month of football with an oblique injury before landing on the Covid-19 list. He split time with Pharaoh Cooper as the Giants eased him into action. Once the fourth quarter hit, he was tied for the lead in offensive snaps for Giants wide receivers. He led the team in targets (8) and receiving yards (28) despite the limited time. He will likely see more playing time next week.


Jacksonville Jaguars @ New York Jets

  • Michael Carter: 16 carries, 118 yards, (6 avoided tackles), 2 receptions, 6 receiving yards
  • Dare Ogunbowale: 17 carries, 57 yards, (36 yards after contact), 1 TD, 2 receptions, 15 receiving yards
Jacksonville Jaguars Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
Laquon Treadwell 65 40 5 0
Marvin Jones Jr. 61 39 13 0
Tavon Austin 44 29 7 3
Josh Hammond 8 2 0 0
Jaydon Mickens 1 0 0 0
TE
James O'Shaughnessy 43 22 4 0
Jacob Hollister 36 21 2 0
Chris Manhertz 31 9 0 0
Luke Farrell 1 0 0 0
HB
Dare Ogunbowale 61 34 4 17
James Robinson 11 5 0 3
Nathan Cottrell 1 0 0 1
Total 74 43 35 27

 

New York Jets Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
Braxton Berrios 48 23 5 1
Keelan Cole 42 21 2 0
Denzel Mims 32 15 2 0
Jeff Smith 14 5 1 0
D.J. Montgomery 8 5 0 0
TE
Tyler Kroft 50 25 5 0
Trevon Wesco 22 5 0 0
Daniel Brown 2 0 0 0
HB
Michael Carter 43 16 2 16
Tevin Coleman 19 5 1 14
Ty Johnson 1 0 0 0
Total 58 26 19 32

Add Dare Ogunbowale: James Robinson suffered an achilles injury on a non-contact play that looked serious. Ogunbowale took over as the lead rusher for Jacksonville. He is traditionally a receiving back, but that didn’t stop Jacksonville from giving him the ball 17 times on the ground. They have a favorable matchup against the Patriots next week. The combination of volume and matchup could be enough to make him a fantasy starter.

Michael Carter trending up: The Jets had all of their running backs healthy for the first time in a long time. Carter saw a season high 74% of offensive snaps despite the other backs being available. He has stayed below 60% in the last four games he was healthy with Tevin Coleman more involved. Coleman still had double-digit carries, but Ty Johnson has completely lost his role in the offense. Carter will be a borderline fantasy starter next week with a tough matchup against Tampa Bay. He will be a highly drafted player in 2022 redrafts.

James O’Shaughnessy trending down: The Jaguars tight end was a popular waiver wire target this week for those hurting at tight end. He had been the clear receiving tight end for Jacksonville in an offense that liked to throw to the position.

The Jaguars changed their strategy this week, with Jacob Hollister splitting the receiving role with O’Shaughnessy. A lot of his lost snaps came in 12 personnel, and the team used more 12 personnel than usual with multiple wide receivers missing. Even if they use 11 personnel more often next week, the Patriots have allowed the fewest fantasy points to tight ends this year. He can be dropped in favor of a different waiver wire option.


Los Angeles Rams @ Minnesota Vikings

  • Sony Michel: 27 carries, 131 yards, 1 TD, (30.8% first down rate), 1 reception, 4 receiving yards
  • Justin Jefferson: 8 receptions, 116 yards, (4 for 5 on contested catches)
Los Angeles Rams Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
Van Jefferson 69 38 6 0
Cooper Kupp 68 38 12 1
Odell Beckham Jr. 63 37 8 0
Bennett Skowronek 4 1 0 0
TE
Tyler Higbee 64 32 6 0
Kendall Blanton 8 1 0 0
Brycen Hopkins 3 0 0 0
HB
Sony Michel 63 29 4 26
Darrell Henderson 5 3 0 1
Jake Funk 2 0 0 1
Total 70 38 36 31

 

Minnesota Vikings Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
Justin Jefferson 61 43 13 0
K.J. Osborn 50 36 7 0
Dede Westbrook 27 23 0 0
Adam Thielen 23 18 3 0
Dan Chisena 1 1 0 0
TE
Tyler Conklin 61 40 5 0
Chris Herndon 6 4 0 0
Luke Stocker 4 2 0 0
HB
Alexander Mattison 47 32 4 13
Kene Nwangwu 12 6 2 5
Total 63 44 36 19

Sony Michel trending up: Michel raised eyebrows in Week 13 by putting up the first 100-yard rushing game for a Ram this season with Darrell Henderson out. Henderson returned last week, but Michel retained the starting job. Today he has an even more clear hold of the job. Henderson saw his first carry of the game in the fourth quarter and suffered a knee injury on that play. Michel is now a must-start player next week, while Henderson should only be held onto in case Michel gets Covid. Cam Akers was put on the active roster before this game, but he’s very unlikely to play next week.

Monitor the Adam Thielen injury: Thielen missed last week with a high-ankle sprain. He returned to the Vikings this week despite being limited in practice all week. He was in his usual role to start the game but was clearly not doing well after a catch in the second quarter. He tried to return to the game for a few plays early in the third quarter, but was done for the day after those three plays. K.J. Osborn returned to being an every down receiver after that point, while Dede Westbrook took over in three receiver sets. Thielen can only be trusted next week if he gets some practice in the middle of the week. Even then, the Vikings have a tough matchup against the Packers secondary, which might be better to avoid.

The Vikings without Dalvin Cook: The Vikings star running back landed on the Covid-19 list, which pushed Alexander Mattison back into the starting lineup. He handled double-digit carries but only gained 41 yards and a touchdown. Rookie Kene Nwangwu saw double-digit offensive snaps for the first time in his career and took a few more carries from Mattison than anticipated. Mattison would still be a must-start if Cook misses another week, but his upside will be a little more limited with Nwangwu getting more involved in the offense.


Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots

  • Damien Harris: 18 carries, 103 yards, 3 TD, (44.4% first down or touchdown rate)
  • Isaiah McKenzie: 11 receptions, 125 yards, 1 TD, (8 first downs)
Buffalo Bills Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
Isaiah McKenzie 67 43 12 1
Stefon Diggs 65 42 13 0
Emmanuel Sanders 65 45 3 0
Jake Kumerow 17 10 2 0
Isaiah Hodgins 3 0 0 0
TE
Dawson Knox 79 42 3 0
HB
Devin Singletary 54 33 6 12
Zack Moss 26 10 1 3
Total 79 49 41 26

 

New England Patriots Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
N'Keal Harry 60 36 6 0
Jakobi Meyers 47 33 8 0
Kendrick Bourne 29 26 4 0
Gunner Olszewski 4 2 0 1
Kristian Wilkerson 3 0 0 0
TE
Hunter Henry 54 31 6 0
Jonnu Smith 22 7 0 0
HB
Brandon Bolden 33 23 5 2
Damien Harris 31 8 0 18
Total 63 36 30 24

Add Isaiah McKenzie: The Bills didn’t have Cole Beasley and Gabriel Davis both due to Covid-19. Neither player is vaccinated, making it more likely they miss next week’s game, too. McKenzie took over as the team’s slot receiver and put together a dominant performance. It’s possible even if one or both Bills players returns that they still rely on McKenzie. Bills wide receivers have a very favorable matchup against the Falcons secondary next week, so whoever is available should have a big day.

Drop Matt Breida: The veteran back surprisingly had some good games during the end of November, but his role has declined since that point. He was inactive today in favor of Zack Moss. Devin Singletary remained the primary rushing back as well as the primary receiving back. Singletary remains a relatively safe start. Moss should only be on rosters in case Singletary gets Covid-19.

Patriots injury replacements: Rhamondre Stevenson missed this game due to Covid, while Nelson Agholor missed the game with a concussion. The Patriots running back strategy was very predictable, with Damien Harris getting all of the rushing game work and Brandon Bolden handling all of the receiving work. The Patriots backfield seems destined to be frustrating in 2022 — Harris and Stevenson are inconsistent when both are healthy, but when one is out the other is capable of being a league-winner.

At wide receiver, N’Keal Harry was a direct replacement for Agholor. Harry was restricted to 15 yards on two receptions. Harry can be left on the waiver wire even if Agholor misses another game.


Detroit Lions @ Atlanta Falcons

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown: 9 receptions, 91 yards, 1 TD, (32.3% threat rate), 2 carries, 19 rushing yards
  • Kyle Pitts: 6 receptions, 102 receiving yards, (4.64 YPRR)
Detroit Lions Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
Amon-Ra St. Brown 58 32 10 2
Josh Reynolds 53 32 6 0
Kalif Raymond 47 28 5 1
Tom Kennedy 21 13 2 0
KhaDarel Hodge 8 2 0 0
TE
Brock Wright 49 17 3 0
Shane Zylstra 13 4 0 0
HB
Jamaal Williams 28 9 0 19
Craig Reynolds 27 15 4 11
Godwin Igwebuike 10 7 0 0
Total 67 34 32 33

 

Atlanta Falcons Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
Olamide Zaccheaus 40 23 4 0
Russell Gage 40 23 5 0
Christian Blake 12 7 1 0
Marvin Hall 5 4 1 0
TE
Kyle Pitts 36 22 6 0
Hayden Hurst 22 12 2 0
Lee Smith 11 3 0 0
HB
Mike Davis 26 12 1 7
Cordarrelle Patterson 25 13 1 7
Qadree Ollison 1 0 0 0
Total 46 27 21 18

The return of Jamaal Williams: Williams returned to the Lions after missing the last few weeks due to Covid-19. He immediately went to the top of the depth chart despite how well Craig Reynolds played the last two weeks. The former Packer outplayed Reynolds, gaining 77 yards on 19 carries compared to 29 yards on 11 carries. Reynolds can be dropped at this point, as the Lions could also be getting D’Andre Swift back next week.

Cordarrelle Patterson trending down: The league’s all-time greatest kick returner made his mark over the first half of the season as a receiver, scoring five receiving touchdowns in the first eight weeks with three games over 80 yards. He hasn’t been nearly as involved in the pass game over the last six games, with only 5 receiving yards over the last three games.

Patterson's fantasy value seemed safe, as he was consistently seeing double-digit carries over the past month. He only had 14 rushing yards on seven carries today. He and Mike Davis saw nearly identical usage, but Davis was more effective. It’s worth considering benching Patterson in the fantasy championship round.


Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks

  • Rashaad Penny: 17 carries, 135 yards, 1 TD, (5.6 yards after contact per carry)
  • David Montgomery: 21 carries, 45 yards, 1 TD, (5 avoided tackles), 7 receptions, 61 receiving yards
Chicago Bears Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
Darnell Mooney 63 39 8 2
Damiere Byrd 62 37 2 0
Dazz Newsome 33 18 1 0
Marquise Goodwin 23 12 2 0
TE
Cole Kmet 71 34 5 0
Jimmy Graham 21 12 2 0
J.P. Holtz 13 1 0 0
HB
David Montgomery 58 27 8 21
Damien Williams 9 6 2 1
Khalil Herbert 8 4 1 2
Total 74 40 31 29

 

Seattle Seahawks Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
D.K. Metcalf 49 27 5 0
Tyler Lockett 48 26 6 0
Freddie Swain 29 16 2 0
D'Wayne Eskridge 20 12 3 1
Penny Hart 6 2 0 0
TE
Gerald Everett 47 25 5 0
Colby Parkinson 22 8 1 0
Tyler Mabry 2 0 0 0
HB
Rashaad Penny 30 11 0 17
DeeJay Dallas 22 14 4 4
Travis Homer 4 4 0 0
Total 56 30 26 23

The return of Marquise Goodwin: Goodwin had been out since Week 12 with a foot injury but returned to the Bears lineup today. Chicago was without Allen Robinson II due to COVID-19 and Jakeem Grant due to a concussion. The Bears still limited Goodwin’s snaps despite them being thin at the position. Sixth-round rookie Dazz Newsome saw significant playing time for the second straight week and tallied his first NFL catch. Expect the position group to look a lot different in 2022 outside of Darnell Mooney.

Rashaad Penny trending up: Penny had a disappointing Week 14. Due to the game script and two-minute drills, DeeJay Dallas ended up gaining more rushing yards than him and vulturing a touchdown. The Seahawks' running back usage went more as expected this week. Penny was the clear early-down back and had a dominant day on the ground. Dallas still took most of the third downs, as well as the two-minute drill snaps. Penny has a very safe matchup next week against the Lions. He will get the opportunities, and the matchup and game script should also be in his favor.


Denver Broncos @ Las Vegas Raiders

Denver Broncos Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
Tim Patrick 36 23 4 0
Courtland Sutton 33 21 5 0
Jerry Jeudy 31 20 4 0
Kendall Hinton 4 1 0 0
Diontae Spencer 1 1 0 0
TE
Noah Fant 38 20 4 0
Albert Okwuegbunam 14 6 2 0
Eric Saubert 7 0 0 0
HB
Melvin Gordon III 23 8 1 7
Javonte Williams 22 11 2 7
Total 42 25 22 15

 

Las Vegas Raiders Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
Zay Jones 52 25 7 0
Hunter Renfrow 40 23 3 0
DeSean Jackson 36 20 5 0
Tyron Johnson 18 3 0 0
Dillon Stoner 14 7 0 0
TE
Foster Moreau 65 27 4 0
Nick Bowers 26 6 0 0
Daniel Helm 13 2 0 0
HB
Josh Jacobs 48 19 3 27
Peyton Barber 12 3 1 5
Jalen Richard 10 7 1 1
Total 69 30 24 38

Replacing Bryan Edwards: It was announced just a few hours before the game that Edwards landed on the Covid-19 list. It was assumed DeSean Jackson would see a significant increase in offensive snaps, but he only played roughly half the snaps. The Raiders also used undrafted rookie Dillon Stoner on offense for a career-high 10 snaps, but he still didn’t see his first NFL target. They also used a little more two tight end sets than usual. Expect Las Vegas to make significant changes to their outside receiver group in 2022.

Broncos running backs with Drew Lock: The Broncos skill players were all relatively healthy coming into the game, but they were without their leader, Teddy Bridgewater. The Raiders to stacked the box a little more than the Broncos are used to, resulting in a combined -5 yards before contact for Broncos backs on 14 carries. Lock threw a higher percentage of passes to the wide receivers than Bridgewater typically does, which also hurt the fantasy value of both backs. The Broncos running backs should both rebound next week against the Chargers run defense.


Pittsburgh Steelers @ Kansas City Chiefs

Pittsburgh Steelers Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
Diontae Johnson 65 41 9 0
Chase Claypool 59 34 6 0
Ray-Ray McCloud III 45 30 8 0
Cody White 28 18 3 0
James Washington 22 19 1 0
TE
Zach Gentry 49 29 4 0
Kevin Rader 17 11 2 0
HB
Najee Harris 56 30 7 19
Benny Snell Jr. 16 9 1 5
Total 72 46 41 24

 

Kansas City Chiefs Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
Byron Pringle 55 28 7 0
Demarcus Robinson 46 20 2 0
Mecole Hardman 30 16 5 0
Tyreek Hill 29 20 2 0
Marcus Kemp 11 2 0 0
Josh Gordon 8 8 3 0
TE
Noah Gray 50 28 2 0
Blake Bell 25 4 1 0
Nakia Griffin-Stewart 3 0 0 0
HB
Darrel Williams 29 15 3 11
Clyde Edwards-Helaire 21 11 1 9
Derrick Gore 19 4 3 12
Total 69 32 29 35

Monitor the Clyde Edwards-Helaire injury: Kansas City employed its usual strategy at running back in the first half, with Edwards-Helaire and Darrel Williams splitting time. Edwards-Helaire saw more work on rushing downs, which included a touchdown run, while Williams saw more work in the passing game. Edwards-Helaire suffered a collarbone injury early in the third quarter. Williams handled an increased role in the rushing game in the second half, while Derrick Gore also took on significant playing time. Williams could be a league-winner if Edwards-Helaire has to miss next week’s game.

Chiefs young receivers stepping up: Tyreek Hill landed on the COVID-19 list earlier in the week but was able to come back for this game. Kansas City used him in a decreased role, playing less than half of the team’s offensive snaps. That allowed the younger receivers to handle increased roles. Byron Pringle took advantage of this the most with his two-touchdown day, while Mecole Hardman also scored a touchdown.

Travis Kelce also landed on the COVID-19 list early in the week, but he wasn’t able to play in this game. Noah Gray took over as the receiving tight end, while Blake Bell played significantly in run situations. Gray had only two catches for 12 yards. The Steelers have been relatively good against tight ends this season, so it’s not too surprising that Gray didn’t make much of an impact. He would have a better game next week if Kelce misses more action.

Chase Claypool trending up: There weren’t many positives for the Steelers today, but at least Claypool fantasy managers can be happy about his playing time. He had played between 59%-63% of offensive snaps the past three weeks but was back to his usual role of a near-every snap receiver today. He was off the field along with other starters to end the game. This led to only four catches for 41 yards, but no one on the Steelers' offense had a good day. Pittsburgh has a tough matchup against the Browns next week, where Claypool will be a borderline fantasy starter depending on the league setup.


Washington Football Team @ Dallas Cowboys

  • Amari Cooper: 7 receptions, 85 yards, 1 TD, (15.4 aDOT)
  • Dalton Schultz: 8 receptions, 82 yards, 1 TD, (3 for 3 on contested catches)
Washington Football Team Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
Terry McLaurin 55 34 6 0
Adam Humphries 40 29 6 0
Cam Sims 37 22 3 0
Dyami Brown 13 10 2 0
DeAndre Carter 13 6 2 1
Dax Milne 7 2 1 0
TE
John Bates 45 23 2 0
Ricky Seals-Jones 27 16 1 0
Sammis Reyes 2 1 0 0
HB
Jonathan Williams 24 17 2 3
Antonio Gibson 22 12 4 6
Jaret Patterson 15 3 0 9
Total 60 37 29 20

 

Dallas Cowboys Snaps Routes Run Targets Carries
WR
CeeDee Lamb 54 38 5 1
Amari Cooper 52 38 11 0
Michael Gallup 48 36 4 0
Cedrick Wilson 26 14 3 0
Malik Turner 13 5 3 0
TE
Dalton Schultz 55 37 9 0
Sean McKeon 17 6 0 0
Jeremy Sprinkle 17 4 0 0
HB
Ezekiel Elliott 42 23 1 9
Tony Pollard 25 14 3 8
Corey Clement 7 0 0 4
Total 73 47 40 26

Monitor Antonio Gibson‘s health: The snap counts will be misleading because Dallas held a 35-point lead by halftime, leading both teams to adjust their strategy as the game went on.

Gibson was questionable coming into the game with a toe injury that kept him out of practice all week. He was the clear every-down back on the first few drives of the game, playing on 20 of the first 23 offensive snaps. He played in the first two snaps of the second half, but at that point, Washington shut Gibson down for the rest of the game. There was no sign that he suffered any sort of setback. Even if he’s a limited participant in practice this week, he can safely be put into starting lineups.

The Cowboys' running back split: There was talk before the game that the Cowboys would have a 50/50 split at running back with both players healthy. Instead, we saw the same kind of distribution as past weeks, with a near split in carries but Ezekiel Elliott running several more pass routes. Corey Clement didn’t start playing offensive snaps until the rest of the backups came in. This is likely what we’ll see next week, as well. In Week 17, Dallas has a rough matchup against the Cardinals, which will leave Tony Pollard as a borderline starter, depending on the league.

DeAndre Carter on the decline: Washington’s had Terry McLaurin at one wide receiver spot all season, while Adam Humphries has held onto the slot role. The other outside receiver position has been in flux all season. Carter seemed to have taken hold of it over the second half of the season, as he’s the only other Washington player outside of McLaurin with over 200 receiving yards since Week 8.

Both Dyami Brown and Cam Sims saw more playing time than Carter on pass plays tonight. Carter was held to one catch for five yards. It’s possible Curtis Samuel is back next week to make the situation even more unpredictable. This has been a position to avoid all season, but Carter shouldn’t be trusted in any daily formats or over props next week.

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