Evaluating fantasy football talent on a player-by-player basis is the root of the game. However, trends are formed when taking into account the frequency at which NFL offenses score, how efficient they are on a per-play basis and their sheer amount of talent and volume. There are several advantages to identifying which offenses are more likely to put their players in better positions to succeed and which teams may present the opportunity to stack players.
So, let's look at the top-five fantasy football offenses ahead of the 2021 NFL season.
All average draft position (ADP) info is sourced from Underdog Fantasy and Fantasy Data.
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1. Kansas City Chiefs
There was just no plausible justification for selecting another offense for the top spot in 2021. The Chiefs are truly remarkable in how they operate, and head coach Andy Reid doesn’t appear to be slowing down anytime soon.
The offense consists of multiple top-two picks at their respective positions in Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill and Patrick Mahomes. Those guys are full-go in every format and scoring system in fantasy football. Things become interesting after that, as Clyde Edwards-Helaire is coming off an arguably disappointing rookie season but is the unquestioned RB1.
Then, there’s potential for some shakeup at the receiver spots. Sammy Watkins departed in free agency, and now the team has a tight race at WR2 and WR3. The chart below is a best guess at how the offense will look, but Byron Pringle will likely factor in, too.
Kansas City Chiefs offensive fantasy production | 2020
Category | Fantasy Points Per Game (Rank) | ADP (Position Rank) |
Patrick Mahomes | 25 (3rd) | 32.5 (QB1) |
Clyde Edwards-Helaire | 13.5 (23rd) | 24.6 (RB14) |
Tyreek Hill | 21.9 (2nd) | 8.1 (WR2) |
Mecole Hardman | 7.6 (82nd) | 87.6 (WR41) |
Demarcus Robinson | 6.7 (95th) | 206.4 (WR91) |
Travis Kelce | 20.9 (1st) | 6.8 (TE1) |
This is the same offense that ranked second in expected points added per play (0.177), third in average yards per play (6.3) and fifth in touchdown drive percentage (32.5%) this past season. They are as safe of an attack as there is in the NFL.
There’s no reason to believe Kansas City will slow down this season, and in fact, the unit could produce good value outside of the top-three options. The offensive line is significantly improved, providing CEH with a legitimate shot to improve on his injury-riddled rookie campaign, and Demarcus Robinson and Pringle could both work their way into the No. 2 or No. 3 receiver conversation.
2. Dallas Cowboys