The process of finding quality fantasy football players at discounted price tags is pivotal in the success or failure of a fantasy football season. And every NFL roster, both good and bad, provides value at certain positions — it's just matter of finding those diamonds in the rough. Let’s examine each team’s roster and select the best-valued players at their current average draft positions (ADP).
All ADP info is sourced from BestBall10s drafts dating back to the beginning of July.
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Arizona Cardinals: WR Larry Fitzgerald | 181.24 ADP
The man known as “Larry Legend” continues to produce, even at his advanced age. While Fitzgerald is no longer the threat he once was, his WR68 price tag places him in the same territory as free agent Antonio Brown and behind rookie Antonio Gibson. Fitz had a WR35 finish in total fantasy points last season (179.4) DeAndre Hopkins‘ arrival could potentially lead to a clearer path to production for Fitz, as Nuk is likely to draw major attention in coverage.
The Cardinals ranked 11th in pass play percentage in 2019 — 63.8% of their play calls were passing attempts. Expect them to again rank among the league’s pass-heaviest teams, as head coach Kliff Kingsbury’s philosophy relies on it.
PFF’s fantasy projections expect a less productive season for Fitz, ranking him 76th in wide receiver scoring (114.8 total points).
Atlanta Falcons: TE Hayden Hurst | 102.95 ADP
Former Falcons tight end Austin Hooper ranked sixth in the NFL in targets (93) among tight ends last season, helping him to a TE6 finish. While Hurst has never received the same type of usage, his TE34 finish in total points (76.9 points) wasn’t bad for a player vying for the TE2/TE3 spot on his own team. Hurst’s average depth of target (aDOT of 9.0) ranked 16th, his 11.6 receiving yards per reception ranked 14th and his 1.69 yards per route run ranked 11th in the NFL among tight ends with 25-plus targets.
Expect Hurst to see a fair amount of volume as the Falcons’ de facto third option in the passing game. PFF’s fantasy projections expect Hurst to finish as TE17.
Baltimore Ravens: WR Marquise Brown | 65.27 ADP
When including only the weeks in which Brown played (Weeks 1-5, 8-17), he had a WR43 finish (146.4 points). The more intriguing part of Brown’s rookie season was his efficiency on a per-touch and snap basis — he ranked 19th among wide receivers in points per snap (0.26) and 24th in points per touch (3.18) over that same time frame.
Brown is likely to take a step forward in his development now that his foot injury is healed. PFF’s fantasy projections rank Brown 34th in wide receiver scoring in 2020.
Buffalo Bills: WR Stefon Diggs | 60.95 ADP
While the receiver position is quite deep in 2020, Diggs’ ADP of WR26 could result in a bargain — he’s produced finishes of WR20, WR11 and WR19 over his past three seasons. The concerns over quarterback Josh Allen’s ability to produce are fair, but John Brown’s WR22 finish last season provides a level of comfort that a receiver — such as Diggs — can sustain solid production with Allen at quarterback.
Diggs’ lack of volume in 2019 didn’t hamper his ability to produce — he ranked 12th in points per snap (0.28) and 20th in points per touch (3.21) among all receivers. In addition, Diggs’ 635 receiving yards on targets 20-plus yards downfield were the most in the NFL among wide receivers. While Allen could stand to improve his accuracy, Brown also ranked highly on pass attempts 20-yards down the field (19th).
PFF’s fantasy projections expect some regression for Diggs in his first season in Buffalo, handing him a WR33 ranking and a 191.4-point total.
Carolina Panthers: WR Robby Anderson | 139.39 ADP
Anderson’s average depth of target (aDOT) of 15.8 yards ranked eighth in the league among receivers with 25-plus targets in 2019. A noted deep threat, Anderson’s 2019 campaign fizzled out due to a lack of competent quarterback play — he ranked third in incomplete targets due to quarterback play (25), 12 of which came on targets 20-plus yards downfield (ranked second). Inaccurate passes are costly — and even more so when the targets are premium downfield opportunities.
While Anderson's WR41 finish in 2019 doesn’t inspire a ton of confidence, PFF’s fantasy projections expect a slight decrease in his performance for 2020, ranking him as the WR54 (146.1 points). However, the Panthers have the fourth-easiest schedule ranking according to PFF’s strength of schedule metric, which could be a huge help to Anderson and his teammates.
Chicago Bears: WR Anthony Miller | 120.59 ADP
Miller’s WR56 finish in 2019 was a far cry from a dominant season, but Taylor Gabriel‘s departure opens up an additional 48 targets. In addition, PFF’s SoS metric projects an easier path to relevance for Bears receivers, ranking their schedule as the seventh-easiest in 2020.
The addition of quarterback Nick Foles may pay dividends for the Bears’ receiving weapons, as Mitchell Trubisky and his 27th-ranked PFF grade among quarterbacks simply didn't get the job done in 2019.
PFF’s fantasy projections expect another WR56 finish for Miller.
Cincinnati Bengals: WR John Ross | 202.46 ADP
Even though Ross played in only eight games last season, he began to show flashes of the player people thought he was coming out of college. Ross ranked sixth in yards per reception (18.07) and seventh in yards after the catch per reception (7.21). Including only the weeks in which he played (1-4, 14-17), Ross ranked 10th in receiving yards (275), first in missed tackles forced on receptions (four) and third in yards after the catch per reception (11.4) among receivers with 10-plus targets.
The Bengals' wide receiver room is packed with talent, leaving Ross with less-than-ideal volume — however, his efficiency metrics and usage (deep downfield threat) suggest he could return solid value, even in a minimized role.
PFF’s fantasy projections rank Ross 70th in receiver scoring, which falls right in line with his WR74 ADP.
Cleveland Browns: WR Jarvis Landry | 69.91 ADP
Landry has proven his worth as one of the most consistent options in fantasy football at the receiver position. With finishes of WR12, WR19, WR4, WR13 and WR11 over his past five seasons, he has truly established his place as one of the more underappreciated players leaguewide. Although his usage is rather unique, Landry ranked seventh in receiving yards after the catch (432), fifth in receiving yards after contact (227) and sixth in missed tackles forced on receptions (15) in 2019. And the play is only just getting started when Landry catches the ball, as he’s proven to be one of the more productive wideouts in yards-after-the-catch situations.
Landry ranked eighth in the league with 20 inaccurate targets from his quarterback. Even with his solid production last season, the potential for more was lost due to Baker Mayfield’s inaccuracy.
PFF’s fantasy projections expect Landry to crush his WR32 ADP — slating him for a WR17 finish (217 total points). In addition, PFF’s SoS metric gives the Browns' receivers the eighth-easiest schedule in 2020.
Dallas Cowboys: TE Blake Jarwin | 150.54 ADP
Jarwin’s TE29 finish in 2019 may seem mediocre, but the departure of veteran Jason Witten ensures Jarwin sees more volume and usage in 2020. Witten’s 82 targets ranked eighth among all tight ends in 2019. Even with his lack of playing time, Jarwin ranked 21st in explosive pass plays (nine) and seventh in aDOT (10.1) among tight ends with 25-plus targets.
An expanded role is likely to lead to a productive season for Jarwin, especially when we consider the number of weapons that defenses need to prepare for when playing the Cowboys.
PFF’s fantasy projections expect Jarwin to rank 14th in tight end scoring, which ranks slightly higher than his TE19 ADP.
Denver Broncos: RB Phillip Lindsay | 97.15 ADP
Lindsay’s road to a repeat performance in 2020 became tougher when the Broncos signed Melvin Gordon in free agency, but the former undrafted free agent should still receive a decent workload. Lindsay’s 2019 campaign landed him at the RB20 spot (197.7 points), and he ranked 17th with 0.39 points per snap. Displaying a strong ability to create, Lindsay ranked in the top 10 in missed tackles forced on runs (43) and in missed tackles forced per attempt (0.19) among running backs with 100-plus attempts.
PFF’s fantasy projections currently have Lindsay pegged for the RB37 spot.
Detroit Lions: QB Matthew Stafford | 121.25 ADP
In Weeks 1-8, no quarterback had more 20-plus yard attempts (48) than Stafford — he also ranked third in yards on such throws. Stafford ranked ninth in fantasy points (149.7) over the same time frame, registering a fifth-ranked yards per attempt (8.4) figure and a first-ranked aDOT (11.4) mark among quarterbacks with 100-plus attempts.
Stafford was incredibly productive last season, ranking seventh in points per dropback during Weeks 1-8. The value the Lions place on deep pass attempts allows for Stafford to routinely create chunk plays.
PFF’s fantasy projections place Stafford as the QB15 in 2020 — a ranking that projects a total of 264.5 points.
Green Bay Packers: WR Allen Lazard | 172.16 ADP
Lazard became one of the Packers' featured weapons from Week 7 onward. In Weeks 7-17, Lazard ranked 53rd in total fantasy points, 56th in points per snap and 54th in points per touch. While none of those marks are wildly impressive, the Packers have an opening at the WR2 spot opposite of star receiver Davante Adams once again in 2020. Just by virtue, the player who wins that role will likely receive a fair amount of volume, which should provide enough opportunities to produce.
PFF’s fantasy projections have Lazard ranked 60th in receiver scoring in 2020 — falling right in the same range as his current WR65 ADP.
Houston Texans: RB Duke Johnson Jr. | 124.70 ADP
The addition of David Johnson will surely impact Duke negatively, though the latter has routinely provided value in full-point PPR leagues due to his receiving ability. Duke ranked 30th in total fantasy points last season, but he ranked 13th in yards per reception (9.32) and eighth in points per touch (1.23). His 62 targets ranked 13th among running backs.
While Duke is not likely to see an expanded three-down role, his receiving prowess should continue to buy him playing time, especially in the event of a David Johnson injury.
PFF’s fantasy projections believe Duke will outproduce his current RB49 ADP with his RB38 ranking. In addition, PFF’s SoS metric ranks the schedule of the Texans’ running backs as the third-easiest in 2020.
Indianapolis Colts: WR Michael Pittman Jr. | 155.44 ADP
Pittman is already set up for success despite having yet to play an NFL snap — his 493 receiving yards on 20-plus yard targets ranked 13th in college football in 2019. Luckily for Pittman, his new quarterback, Philip Rivers, is no stranger to pushing the ball downfield — Rivers ranked fourth in pass attempts and eighth in passing yards on 20-plus yard passes in 2019. The Los Angeles Chargers ranked fourth in explosive passing plays (15-plus yards downfield) and sixth in explosive pass percentage (17.1%) in 2019 with Rivers under center.
PFF’s fantasy projections expect an average rookie season out of Pittman, handing him a WR77 ranking.
Jacksonville Jaguars: QB Gardner Minshew | 172.28 ADP
Minshew’s rookie season was a major success, as he registered 14 games of playing time while ranking 21st in fantasy points ( 243.2) and 18th in points per dropback (0.44). The Jaguars did not improve much — if at all — over the offseason, which leaves Minshew as the unquestioned starter. Jacksonville ranked second in snaps played (run and pass plays) while trailing in 2019 — don’t expect that figure to decrease in 2020. In addition to a ton of potential passing opportunities in trailing situations, the Jaguars added receiver Laviska Shenault Jr. and tight end Tyler Eifert in the hopes of generating an offensive spark.
PFF’s fantasy projections expect Minshew to nearly fall right in line with his ADP, slating him for a QB26 finish in comparison to his QB24 ADP.
Kansas City Chiefs: WR Sammy Watkins | 141.47 ADP
Watkins’ role in the offense has the potential to decrease in 2020 due to the emergence of fellow receiver Mecole Hardman, though he is still a cheap option on the league’s most explosive and dangerous offense. Watkins’ WR57 ADP is fair for a player of his caliber — he ranked 19th in yards after the catch per reception (5.85) last season. He appears to be the clear-cut third receiver on the team, which may seem like a longshot to produce on most teams, but the Chiefs ranked sixth in explosive plays passing in 2019.
PFF’s fantasy projections do not expect Watkins to outplay his ADP, ranking him as the WR66 compared to his WR57 ADP. PFF’s SoS metric ranks the schedule of the Chiefs' receivers as the 10th-easiest in 2020, providing major upside for the receiving corps.
Los Angeles Rams: QB Jared Goff | 142.14 ADP
Regardless of how you feel about Goff’s real-life performance or contract, his fantasy relevance is undeniable. Over the past three seasons, Goff has registered finishes as the QB12, QB6 and QB12. Over the same time frame, Goff ranks fourth in pass attempts, third in passing yards, fifth in passing touchdowns and ninth in yards per attempt among quarterbacks with 100-plus passing attempts.
Head coach Sean McVay’s scheme is extremely quarterback-friendly, and Goff’s statistics and performances have proven that. Expect more of the same from this duo in Los Angeles.
PFF’s fantasy projections expect Goff to put together another strong performance, ranking him as the QB12 compared to his QB17 ADP.
Los Angeles Chargers: QB Tyrod Taylor | 231.30 ADP
The addition of first-round rookie Justin Herbert complicates this situation, though the veteran Taylor should be provided every opportunity to win the starting quarterback job. Dating back to Taylor’s time as a starter (2015-2017), he secured finishes as the QB15 in 2015 (third-ranked 0.59 points per dropback), QB12 in 2016 (sixth-ranked 0.52 points per dropback) and QB17 in 2017 (19th-ranked 0.45 points per dropback). Taylor’s 1,564 rushing yards over that same time frame ranked second among all quarterbacks. His mobility ensures a high-floor option at the quarterback position.
PFF’s fantasy projections rank Taylor as the QB34, which is nearly in line with his QB31 ADP. The Chargers’ quarterback group is slated to face the 10th-easiest schedule in 2020, offering a sliver of hope for Taylor to severely outproduce his projections.
Las Vegas Raiders: WR Hunter Renfrow | 163.55 ADP
Renfrow’s 67 targets did not provide enough opportunity for him to rank highly in total fantasy points, though his 2.09 yards per route run ranked among the league’s best (11th). The role in which Renfrow operates doesn’t offer a ton of big-play potential (aDOT of 7.2 yards), but he should intrigue players in full-point PPR leagues who are looking for a productive, chain-moving receiver.
PFF’s fantasy projections rank Renfrow 52nd in receiver scoring, which slightly differs from his WR63 ADP.
Miami Dolphins: QB Tua Tagovailoa | 230.01 ADP
Whoever wins the Dolphins’ starting quarterback job is worthy of securing their place on this list. As of now, Tagovailoa is the option. In 2019, he ranked third in yards per attempt (11.3) and 10th in adjusted completion percentage (79.0%), helping him register a 90.8 PFF passing grade (eighth). In addition to his passing ability, Tagovailoa offers the rushing upside many other quarterback options don’t.
PFF’s fantasy projections rank the rookie as the QB29, projecting him for a 228.5-point finish. PFF’s SoS metric ranks the Dolphins’ quarterback schedule as the sixth-easiest in 2020 — providing a lot of potential for whoever is at the helm of Miami’s offense.
Minnesota Vikings: TE Irv Smith Jr. | 172.21 ADP
Smith’s rookie season could be considered a success, as his TE33 finish was relatively impressive for a backup tight end. His role within the Vikings’ offense is likely to expand after the departure of Stefon Diggs (91 targets). While rookie receiver Justin Jefferson is likely to receive most of those vacated targets, Smith’s development could lead to more playing time and more two-tight end sets, hence a greater target share. The main issue for Smith in 2019 was the quality of his targets, as his aDOT of 6.3 yards ranked 34th among tight ends with 25-plus targets in 2019. He actually ranked below veteran teammate Kyle Rudolph (7.5).
PFF’s fantasy projections expect an expanded role for Smith in 2020 — ranking him as the TE20 and projecting him an additional 17 targets.
New England Patriots: WR N’Keal Harry | 150.58 ADP
Harry’s rookie season was basically a write-off, as the rookie struggled with injuries and saw the field only in Weeks 11-17, registering just 24 targets and 105 receiving yards. Still, the Patriots invested far too much to give up on Harry, meaning he’ll likely be provided many opportunities to win a starting job and, in turn, produce in 2020. With only Julian Edelman and Mohamed Sanu ahead of him on the depth chart, there is legitimate potential for an increased role. The one area in which Harry showed some ability was his four missed tackles forced on receptions (ranked 16th among receivers) during Weeks 11-17.
PFF’s fantasy projections rank Harry as the WR59 (141.4 total points), a figure that lands incredibly close to his WR60 ADP.
New Orleans Saints: TE Jared Cook | 112.53 ADP
Cook was extremely productive in 2019, and his usage was among the most intriguing at his position — he ranked first in aDOT (11.44), fourth in yards per target (11.37), second in yards per reception (16.40), second in points per snap (0.33) and first in points per touch (3.90). Both the totals and efficiency metrics were off the charts for Cook, which bodes well for his projection moving forward. The addition of receiver Emmanuel Sanders may result in a few lost targets, though the declining arm strength of quarterback Drew Brees is sure to result in enough volume for Cook.
PFF’s fantasy projections rank Cook as the TE13 in 2020, nearly matching his TE10 ADP.
New York Giants: WR Golden Tate | 129.96 ADP
The battle between Darius Slayton and Tate is interesting, though Tate’s discounted price tag presents the opportunity for superior value. From Weeks 5-17 in 2019, Tate ranked first on the team in targets (81), receptions (49) and yards (676). His 154.2 total points ranked 26th among receivers over that time frame, coming in only two spots behind Slayton’s WR24 ranking. In what has become a theme, Tate once again dominated after the catch — ranking ninth in receiving yards after the catch (291) and 14th in receiving yards after contact (130) among all receivers.
PFF’s fantasy projections currently slot in Tate as the WR43 with a total of 164.7 expected points. This ranking displays the potential for value, with Tate’s current ADP landing at WR52.
New York Jets: TE Chris Herndon | 160.34 ADP
Herndon saw only 18 snaps in 2019, which is why it makes sense to evaluate his 2018 season — he ranked 17th in yards per target, 14th in yards per reception, and 16th in total fantasy points (113.2) among all tight ends. In addition, Herndon’s 10.6 aDOT (sixth) helps illustrate his potential usage in 2020, and his 11th-ranked 1.65 yards per route run figure bodes well for his projection moving forward.
Herndon should be the unquestioned starter at tight end for the Jets in 2020. PFF’s fantasy projections rank him as the TE18, and PFF’s SoS metric ranks the Jets’ tight end schedule as the fifth-easiest in 2020.
Philadelphia Eagles: DeSean Jackson | 142.89 ADP
Jackson’s current ADP lands him at the WR58 spot. His 2019 season lasted only three games, yet he still secured nine of his 10 targets for 159 yards and two touchdowns. Jackson’s minimal time on the field didn’t stop him from showing off his vertical receiving prowess. Dating back to 2015, Jackson ranks 12th in receiving yards, 11th in touchdowns and 11th in aDOT on passes 20-plus yards downfield among receivers with 50-plus targets.
The Eagles have severely lacked a deep threat, particularly in 2019 — as evidenced by Carson Wentz’s 32nd-ranked 6.7 yards per pass attempt figure. Jackson should figure in nicely again as the most established deep threat on the roster, and he even flashed what he could be capable of with Wentz at quarterback (albeit on a tiny sample size).
PFF’s fantasy projections currently have Jackson ranked 49th in receiver scoring.
Pittsburgh Steelers: RB James Conner | 35.53 ADP
The Steelers present a few intriguing options, though none offers more upside than Conner, even though his ADP is relatively high. Conner’s injury-plagued 2019 campaign resulted in 14.6 points per game and a total of 147.5 points (34th). His 2018 campaign produced elite results, though, with Conner ranking sixth in total points (280) and seventh in points per game (21.5) among all running backs. In addition to his injuries, the lack of competent quarterback play stifled the Steelers’ rushing attack and Conner’s effectiveness. Ben Roethlisberger‘s return should certainly help the offense get back to its norm.
PFF’s fantasy projections expect a strong rebound season from Conner, ranking him as the RB15 compared to his RB19 ADP. PFF’s SoS metric ranks the Steelers’ running back schedule as the 10th-easiest in 2020, further helping set the stage for a rebound performance from Conner.
Seattle Seahawks: TE Will Dissly | 233.93 ADP
The promising youngster is recovering from a torn Achilles that ended his season after only six games, though he’s expected to be ready for Week 1. Dissly was no stranger to producing big plays in 2019, ranking 10th in explosive pass plays among tight ends from Weeks 1-6 — his aDOT of 9.5 yards ranked 11th among tight ends over the same time frame, helping illustrate his usage in the Seahawks’ passing game. Dissly’s 2.50 yards per route run ranked fourth among all tight ends. His main hurdle to clear will be the battle against Greg Olsen for playing time, though Olsen is no longer capable of producing as many explosive plays.
PFF’s fantasy projections expect Dissly to lead the Seahawks’ tight end group in points, ranking him as the TE24. Both players receive a boost with their 12th-ranked schedule, according to PFF’s SoS metric.
San Francisco 49ers: RB Tevin Coleman | 92.33 ADP
Attempting to decipher which running back the 49ers will feature on a weekly basis is sure to cause many headaches, but Coleman still offers a lot of value at his ADP, even if teammate Raheem Mostert is the superior player. From Week 5 onward, Coleman ranked 29th in total points (127.8), 24th in points per snap (0.35) and 35th in points per touch (0.85) among all running backs. In addition to those totals, the 49ers ranked inside the top 10 in red-zone plays and goal-line plays and finished third in rushing yards before contact. Every running back on their roster offers some level of intrigue due to the offensive line’s dominance and head coach Kyle Shanahan’s ability to scheme a productive running game.
PFF’s fantasy projections rank Coleman as the RB43 currently, which is slightly behind his current ADP as the RB37.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: RB Ronald Jones | 76.70 ADP
Even though he has yet to justify his early draft status, Jones has proven he can produce in the league, so long as he’s provided opportunities. Jones’ 170.3 points ranked 25th among running backs in 2019, but it was his points per snap (0.41 — ranked 13th) figure that really drew intrigue to his sophomore season. In addition, Jones ranked 23rd in both yards after contact and missed tackles forced on runs among running backs. While the Buccaneers added rookie Ke’Shawn Vaughn to the mix, Jones should have the first crack at the starting running back job.
PFF’s fantasy projections rank Jones as the RB30 — nearly matching his RB32 ADP.
Tennessee Titans: TE Jonnu Smith | 131.82 ADP
There may not be a better candidate for a 2020 breakout than Smith. His 2019 was downright dominant, as he ranked inside the top 10 in receiving yards after the catch, receiving yards after contact, missed tackles forced on receptions, receiving yards per reception and yards per route run among tight ends with 25-plus targets. The departure of veteran Delanie Walker adds another 31 targets to the table, in addition to the extra snaps his release opened.
PFF’s fantasy projections rank Smith as the TE15. His projection comes in slightly higher than his TE17 ADP.
Washington Football Team: RB Derrius Guice | 80.07 ADP
The zero-RB strategy has gained plenty of steam over the past few years. Potentially finding a starting running back with the 80th selection in a fantasy football draft could be considered theft, and that’s exactly the upside Guice offers. Guice has been a productive player when on the field, but his injury history is long and worrisome. Still, looking at Weeks 1 and 11-14 in 2019, Guice ranked 18th among running backs in total points, third in points per snap and 12th in points per touch. He also managed to rank 10th in yards after contact and first in yards after contact per attempt (5.1) among running backs with 10-plus rushing attempts over that same time frame.
Expecting Guice to play a full season may be considered wishful thinking, but his current ADP minimizes the risk, regardless of how many games played his health permits in 2020.
PFF’s fantasy projections currently rank Guice as the RB28, which is comparable to his RB33 ADP.
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