DJ

Moore

A trade to the Chicago Bears helped him significantly. His PFF receiving grade was consistently between 73.0 and 80.0 until last season. His target rate was a little lower in part because of how often Justin Fields would hold onto the ball, but he set a career-low in drops and a career-high in explosive plays and yards per route run. He earned a positive grade at the highest rate of his career as well as avoided a negative grade at the highest rate.

Moore will keep his elite potential in any given week, but his odds of being a top-24 or top-36 wide receiver in any given week have gone down, which will lead to fewer fantasy points per game. If Keenan Allen or Rome Odunze suffer an injury, that will likely mean a signficant increase in target share for the two healthy receivers.

Moore finished WR6 last season. Significant target share has driven his ADP all the way down to WR18, which is warranted. Another top-10 season is well within reach if Caleb Williams plays well or one of the new receivers suffers an injury, but there is also a scenario where he has his worst fantasy performance to date.