NFL Week 9 Early-Sunday Staff Picks: Player props, spread bets and more

London, United Kingdom, Jacksonville Jaguars running back Travis Etienne Jr. (1) breaks a tackle from Denver Broncos linebacker Nik Bonitto (42) in the fourth quarter during an NFL International Series game at Wembley Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

Bet Travis Etienne o77.5 rush yards, o22.5 receiving yards vs Raiders: His explosiveness as a rusher nearly unmatched, but Etienne hasn't been busy as a receiver — yet.

• After facing two above-average defenses in the Broncos and Giants, Etienne draws a Raiders unit that has permitted a NFL-high 422 receiving yards to opposing backs.

Bet Aaron Jones u28.5 receiving yards at Lions: Detroit has only allowed 149 receiving yards total to backs, as teams are content instead taking whatever they desire downfield.

Last updated: Nov. 6, 10:00 a.m.

Estimated reading time: 3 mins


Here are PFF staff best bets in the early-window Sunday in Week 9:

Tej Seth: BET: JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS RB TRAVIS ETIENNE — OVER 77.5 RUSHING YARDS (-110) VS LAS VEGAS RAIDERS

Bet Gameplan: Playable to 79.5

Mike Renner: Green Bay Packers RB Aaron Jones — Under 28.5 receiving yards (-110)

Bet Gameplan: Playable to 25.5

• Like every other offense that has faced the Lions defense this season, the Packers should have everything they want throwing downfield on Sunday. The Lions have only given up 149 receiving yards to running backs this season (21.3 yards per game), while allowing 1,355 yards to wide receivers (193.6 yards per game).

Judah Fortgang: Raiders RB Josh Jacobs — Over 3.5 receptions (+135)

Bet Gameplan: Playable to +115

Kurt Blakeway: BET: CAROLINA PANTHERS @ CINCINNATI BENGALS — UNDER 42.5 TOTAL POINTS (-110)

• The Bengals looked completely lost without Ja'Marr Chase in Week 8 against the Cleveland Browns: Cincinnati was held to 229 total yards and shut out until the 4th quarter. On top of that, the Bengals only mustered up 36 yards on the ground. Expect them to make it a point to get Joe Mixon more involved this week, as Carolina ranks in the bottom 10 in defending the run. Meantime, Cincinnati is the 10th-slowest team in the NFL in terms of pace of play and are the 3rd-best on converting 3rd down conversions. Long, time-consuming drives are what we are hoping for.

Arjun Menon: Etienne — Over 22.5 receiving yards (-110)

Bet Gameplan: Playable to 24.5
• The Raiders have allowed 422 receiving yards to running backs this year, which is tops in the NFL through 8 weeks. They got toasted by Alvin Kamara last week to the tune of 96 yards. Etienne hasn't seen much receiving work in recent weeks, but he's also faced 2 above average defenses vs RBs in the Giants and Broncos. In a game where the Raiders edge players may cause pressure on Trevor Lawrence, Etienne could be the beneficiary of some checkdowns and go over his prop number.

Martyn Carlisle: Raiders WR Davante Adams — Over 74.5 receiving yards (-110) / 100+ yards (+240)

A $20 BET ON A THREE-LEG PARLAY WITH ADAMS OVER 75.5, JONES UNDER 27.5, AND CAR-CIN UNDER 42.5 WOULD NET $133.46 AT BETMGM.

Betting Featured Tools
  • PFF's Best Bets Tool reveals the bets PFF's data and algorithms give the biggest edge to within spread, total, player prop, and moneyline markets.

    Available with

  • PFF's Player Props Tool reveals betting opportunities within player prop markets.

    Available with

  • Power Rankings are PFF’s NFL power ratings based on weekly player grades in each facet of play. These power rankings are adjusted based on coach, quarterback and the market each season.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NFL game.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NCAA game.

    Available with

Subscriptions

Unlock the 2024 Fantasy Draft Kit, with Live Draft Assistant, Fantasy Mock Draft Sim, Rankings & PFF Grades

$24.99/mo
OR
$119.99/yr