• Bet: Patriots QB Bailey Zappe u29.5 pass attempts (-104): Greatest Greenline Edge of Week 5 (44.5%)
• Bet Zappe u18.5 completions: 42.6% edge in Zappe's first-ever start.
• Bet Tom Brady o2.5 pass TDs (+161): Bucs offense is healthier and has a chip on its shoulder (27.6% edge).
• New users who bet $10 or more at BetMGM will receive a free year’s subscription to PFF+ — a $79.99 value.
Last updated: Sun. Oct. 9, 11:05 a.m.
Estimated reading time: 2 mins
Take a look at the odds for every Week 5 game, courtesy of BetMGM, followed by PFF Greenline and PFF staff best bets.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Buffalo Bills
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Steelers | +14 (-110) | O45.5 (-110) | +600 |
Bills | -14 (-110) | U45.5 (-110) | -900 |
• Bet Steelers WR Chase Claypool u2.5 receptions (+123): 19.2% edge; Claypool was held without a catch for first time in NFL Sunday, when rookie Kenny Pickett played 2nd half.
Los Angeles Chargers @ Cleveland Browns
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Chargers | -1.5 (-120) | O46.5 (-110) | -125 |
Browns | +1.5 (+100) | U46.5 (-110) | +105 |
• Bet RB Kareem Hunt u10.5 carries (-115): Hunt below this number for first time Sunday; 15.1% Greenline edge.
Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Bears | +7.5 (-110) | O44 (-110) | +260 |
Vikings | -7.5 (-110) | U44 (-110) | -350 |
• Bet Bears WR Equanimeous St. Brown u1.5 catches (+126): 15.6 Greenline edge on Brown, who's below two catches in three of first four games with pass-allergic Bears.
Detroit Lions @ New England Patriots
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Lions | +3 (-115) | O46.5 (-110) | +130 |
Patriots | -3 (-105) | U46.5 (-110) | -155 |
• Bet: Patriots QB Bailey Zappe u29.5 pass attempts (-104): Greatest Greenline Edge of Week 5 (44.5%)
• Bet Zappe u18.5 completions: 42.6% edge in Zappe's first-ever start.
Seattle Seahawks @ New Orleans Saints
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Seahawks | +5 (-115) | O46 (-110) | +180 |
Saints | -5 (-105) | U46 (-110) | -225 |
• Bet Andy Dalton u1.5 pass TDs (-127): Saints without Michael Thomas, and Dalton has two or fewer TD passes in 8 of past 10 appearances.
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Dolphins | -3.5 (-115) | O45.5 (-110) | -185 |
Jets | +3.5 (+105) | U45.5 (-110) | +150 |
• Bet Dolphins -3 at Jets (-110): 2.8% edge on Miami bouncing back behind Teddy Bridgewater with a full week to prepare as the starter.
• Bet QB Zach Wilson u0.5 pass TD (+185): 13.8 Greenline edge — though Wilson has at least one TD in four straight games spanning back to rookie year.
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Falcons | +10 (-110) | O46 (-110) | +350 |
Buccaneers | -10 (-110) | U46 (-110) | -450 |
• Bet Tom Brady o2.5 pass TDs (+161): Bucs offense is healthier and has a chip on its shoulder (27.6% edge).
• Bet QB Marcus Mariota u0.5 pass TDs (+166): He's made most of his fresh start in Atlanta, but Greenline shows 13.8% edge against Bucs dangerous ‘D.'
Tennessee Titans @ Washington Commanders
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Titans | -1 (-110) | O43 (-110) | -110 |
Commanders | +1 (-110) | U43 (-110) | -110 |
• Bet WR Nick Westbrook-Ikhine u2.5 receptions (-113): No Treylon Burks, but Westbrook-Ikhine will still be behind Robert Woods and Kenny Phillips (12.9%).
Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Texans | +7 (-110) | O43.5 (-110) | +260 |
Jaguars | -7 (-110) | U43.5 (-110) | -350 |
• Bet Texans +7 at Jaguars (-110): Plucky Houston projected to play yet another close game, via Greenline (2.7%).
• Bet RB Dameon Pierce u84.5 rush/rec yards (-113): Coming off his breakout game, Pierce expected to cool off vs. tough Jags ‘D;' 11.1% Greenline edge.
San Francisco 49ers @ Carolina Panthers
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
49ers | -6.5 (-110) | O40 (-110) | -275 |
Panthers | +6.5 (-110) | U40 (-110) | +220 |
• Bet Panthers QB Baker Mayfield u0.5 pass TDs (+159): Greenline edge of 12.1% that Baker doesn't throw a TD. Carolina has had most Perfectly Covered Plays against twice in first four games; 49ers top-graded PFF ‘D.'
Dallas Cowboys @ Los Angeles Rams
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Cowboys | +5.5 (-110) | O42 (-110) | +200 |
Rams | -5.5 (-110) | U42 (-110) | -250 |
• Bet WR Noah Brown u37.5 receiving yards (-119): Though Brown has gone well over this number in four straight, Greenline shows 11.1% edge here.
Philadelphia Eagles @ Arizona Cardinals
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Eagles | -5 (-115) | O49 (-110) | -225 |
Cardinals | +5 (-105) | U49 (-110) | +185 |
• Bet RB Miles Sanders u1.5 receptions (+141): 21.5% Greenline Edge on Sanders, who had his best rushing day Sunday.
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Bengals | +3 (-105) | O47.5 (-110) | +135 |
Ravens | -3 (-115) | U47.5 (-110) | -160 |
• Bet Bengals ml at Ravens: PFF Greenline shows an early edge of 2.4% on the Bengals ml (+145) Sunday Night in Baltimore.
Monday, Oct. 10
Las Vegas Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Raiders | +7 (-105) | O51.5 (-110) | +275 |
Chiefs | -7 (-115) | U51.5 (-110) | -350 |