· Bet Cowboys QB Cooper Rush u31.5 pass attempts (-104): PFF Greenline shows 43.1% edge.
· Bet Lions WR DJ Chark u3.5 receptions vs. Seahawks (+124): 38.8% edge is the highest in Seattle-Detroit.
· Bet Browns -1.5 at Falcons: PFF Greenline shows 4.3% edge on Cleveland.
• New users who bet $10 or more at BetMGM will receive a free year’s subscription to PFF+ — a $79.99 value.
Estimated reading time: 4 mins
Take a look at the odds for every Week 4 game, courtesy of BetMGM, followed by PFF Greenline and PFF staff best bets.
Sunday, Oct. 2
Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Titans | +3.5 (-105) | O43 (-110) | +150 |
Colts | -3.5 (-115) | U43 (-110) | -185 |
· Bet: Colts RB Nyheim Hines u2.5 receptions (+131): Greenline edge of 21.7% is highest in Titans-Colts.
Chicago Bears @ New York Giants
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Bears | +3 (-105) | O38.5 (-110) | +125 |
Giants | -3 (-115) | U38.5 (-110) | -150 |
· Bet: Bears-Giants O 38.5: PFF Greenline edge over 3%.
Buffalo Bills @ Baltimore Ravens
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Bills | -3.5 (-110) | O50 (-110) | -175 |
Ravens | +3.5 (-11-) | U50 (-110) | +145 |
· Bet: Bills WR Isaiah McKenzie u2.5 receptions (+110): 13.6% edge is Greenline's largest in Bills-Ravens.
· Bet: Ravens QB Lamar Jackson o54.5 rush yards (-114): Jackson has at least 55 rushing yards in over 60% of career starts.
Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Chargers | -6 (-110) | O45 (-110) | -250 |
Texans | +6 (-110) | U45 (-110) | +200 |
· Bet: Texans QB Davis Mills o2.5 rush yards (-111): Nearly 10% Greenline edge.
Seattle Seahawks @ Detroit Lions
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Seahawks | +3.5 (-110) | O47.5 (-110) | +150 |
Lions | -3.5 (-110) | U47.5 (-110) | -185 |
· Bet Lions WR DJ Chark u3.5 receptions vs. Seahawks (+124): 38.8% edge is the highest in Seattle-Detroit.
· Bet Seahawks WR D.K. Metcalf o5.5 receptions: He has a 91.7 PFF grade against man coverage, and his 40.9% threat rate vs. man — which Detroit plays more than any team in the league — easily the best in football.
New York Jets @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Jets | +3.5 (-115) | O41.5 (-110) | +150 |
Steelers | -3.5 (-105) | U41.5 (-110) | -185 |
· Bet Jets RB Breece Hall u8.5 carries (-105): Greenline edge of 14.1 percent; Jets should be in comeback mode.
· Live-betting strategy: Should Steelers jump out to an opening lead of touchdown or greater, consider Zach Wilson's Jets on the back-door cover or win.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Philadelphia Eagles
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Jaguars | +6.5 (-110) | O44.5 (-110) | +200 |
Eagles | -6.5 (-110) | U45.5 (-110) | -250 |
· Bet Jaguars RB Travis Ettiene u6.5 carries (-132): 15.9% Greenline edge among greatest in Jags-Eagles.
· Bet Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence o22.5 completions (-114): Teams have passed the ball 4% more than expected on the Eagles defense (8th in NFL); likely favorable game script.
Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Commanders | +3 (-110) | O41.5 (-110) | +140 |
Cowboys | -3 (-110) | U41.5 (-110) | -165 |
· Bet Cowboys QB Cooper Rush u226.5 pass yards (-115 DK): 24.8% edge via Greenline; Washington run ‘D' 52.3 grade (26th).
· Bet Cowboys QB Cooper Rush u31.5 pass attempts (-104): PFF Greenline shows 43.1% edge.
Cleveland Browns @ Atlanta Falcons
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Browns | -1 (-110) | O47.5 (-110) | -115 |
Falcons | +1 (-110) | U47.5 (-110) | +105 |
· Bet Browns -1.5: Greenline shows 4.3% edge.
Arizona Cardinals @ Carolina Panthers
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Cardinals | +1 (-110) | O43.5 (-110) | +105 |
Panthers | -1 (-110) | U43.5 (-110) | -115 |
· Bet: Panthers TE Tommy Tremble o3.5 receiving yards (-120): 12.3% Greenline Edge.
· Bet: Cardinals +1: Kliff Kingsbury has an 18-6-2 ATS record on the road; Matt Rhule has a 1-6 ATS record as a home favorite.
Denver Broncos @ Las Vegas Raiders
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Broncos | +2.5 (-110) | O45.5 (-110) | +125 |
Raiders | -2.5 (-110) | U45.5 (-110) | -150 |
· Bet Davante Adams o7.5 receptions (-112): PFF Greenline edge of 12.7%..
· Bet Broncos +2.5: Take the better team and take the points.
New England Patriots @ Green Bay Packers
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Patriots | +9.5 (-110) | O40 (-110) | +340 |
Packers | -9.5 (-110) | U40 (-110) | -450 |
· Bet: Pats-Pack O 40: PFF Greenline edge of 2.7%.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Chiefs | +1 (-115) | O46 (-110) | -105 |
Buccaneers | -1 (-105) | U46 (-110) | -115 |
· Bet Bucs WR Russell Gage u3.5 receptions (+110): WRs healthier, limiting target share; game-high 16.1 PFF Greenline edge.
· Bet Chiefs alt line-7.5: With big disparity between offensive capabilities, attractive spot to grab alt line before market adjustment.
Monday, Oct. 3
Los Angeles Rams @ San Francisco 49ers
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Rams | +1.5 (-110) | O42.5 (-110) | +105 |
49ers | -1.5 (-110) | U42.5 (-110) | -125 |