PFF's simulation engine powered by AWS simulates the NFL season from its current point 10,000 times. Each team is represented by its current power ratings that are built off of both PFF grading and conventional data. The results below are the average outcomes for each NFL team after Week 1.
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Team | Division | Avg Wins | Playoff % | Division Title % | Make Super Bowl % | Super Bowl Champ % | Avg Wk of Next Loss | Avg Draft Position |
KC | AFCW | 11.5 | 94% | 78% | 30% | 18% | 4.0 | 27.5 |
BLT | AFCN | 11.2 | 93% | 78% | 24% | 14% | 3.9 | 26.9 |
NO | NFCS | 10.2 | 83% | 67% | 18% | 9% | 3.6 | 24.4 |
SEA | NFCW | 10.1 | 80% | 46% | 18% | 9% | 3.6 | 24.0 |
TEN | AFCS | 10.1 | 81% | 64% | 13% | 7% | 3.9 | 23.9 |
GB | NFCN | 9.7 | 75% | 55% | 14% | 7% | 3.5 | 22.8 |
NE | AFCE | 9.6 | 77% | 60% | 12% | 6% | 3.0 | 23.1 |
LA | NFCW | 8.8 | 59% | 22% | 8% | 3% | 3.2 | 20.0 |
SF | NFCW | 8.6 | 52% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 3.8 | 19.5 |
BUF | AFCE | 8.5 | 57% | 32% | 5% | 2% | 3.2 | 19.2 |
LV | AFCW | 8.4 | 48% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 2.7 | 17.8 |
TB | NFCS | 8.4 | 50% | 21% | 7% | 3% | 3.6 | 18.2 |
ARZ | NFCW | 8.3 | 49% | 15% | 5% | 2% | 3.3 | 17.7 |
CHI | NFCN | 8.3 | 47% | 23% | 4% | 1% | 3.3 | 17.3 |
DAL | NFCE | 8.2 | 53% | 46% | 6% | 3% | 3.1 | 17.7 |
PIT | AFCN | 8.2 | 45% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 3.1 | 16.8 |
IND | AFCS | 7.4 | 30% | 13% | 2% | 1% | 3.3 | 14.2 |
JAX | AFCS | 7.3 | 30% | 12% | 1% | 0% | 2.7 | 13.6 |
LAC | AFCW | 7.3 | 29% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 2.6 | 13.7 |
WAS | NFCE | 7.3 | 34% | 26% | 2% | 1% | 2.7 | 13.5 |
CLV | AFCN | 7.2 | 28% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 3.2 | 13.2 |
DET | NFCN | 7.2 | 25% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 2.7 | 13.3 |
MIN | NFCN | 7.2 | 26% | 11% | 2% | 1% | 2.9 | 13.7 |
HST | AFCS | 7 | 23% | 11% | 1% | 1% | 2.6 | 13.5 |
PHI | NFCE | 6.9 | 27% | 20% | 2% | 1% | 2.9 | 13.1 |
DEN | AFCW | 6.8 | 21% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 2.8 | 12.5 |
ATL | NFCS | 6.6 | 19% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 2.8 | 12.0 |
CIN | AFCN | 6.6 | 18% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 2.8 | 10.7 |
NYJ | AFCE | 5.9 | 12% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 2.6 | 9.1 |
MIA | AFCE | 5.8 | 11% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 2.6 | 8.8 |
NYG | NFCE | 5.7 | 12% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 2.6 | 8.3 |
CAR | NFCS | 5.6 | 10% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 2.6 | 8.3 |