2023 NFL Playoff, Super Bowl probabilities for all 32 teams

• Here come the Buffalo Bills: The Bills will win the AFC East with a win vs. the Miami Dolphins on Sunday.

• The Los Angeles Rams are making a push: The Rams are projected to go to the Super Bowl 7% of the time.

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Estimated reading time: 4 minutes

Team	Strength of schedule remaining (1st is hardest)	Projected win total	Chance to make playoffs (%)	Chance to win Super Bowl (%)
Baltimore Ravens	16	13.8	100.0	29.5
San Francisco 49ers	15	12.7	100.0	21.8
Kansas City Chiefs	19	10.8	100.0	6.4
Buffalo Bills	3	10.6	94.7	11.3
Philadelphia Eagles	25	11.7	100.0	6.4
Dallas Cowboys	30	11.8	100.0	7.4
Miami Dolphins	5	11.4	100.0	4.5
Detroit Lions	23	11.7	100.0	3.9
Cleveland Browns	9	11.5	100.0	1.6
Los Angeles Rams	2	9.3	100.0	3.1
Cincinnati Bengals	13	8.5	0.0	0.0
Pittsburgh Steelers	1	9.2	28.1	0.2
Denver Broncos	12	8.4	0.0	0.0
Green Bay Packers	20	8.6	64.1	0.7
New Orleans Saints	29	8.6	30.9	0.4
Seattle Seahawks	31	8.6	25.7	0.3
Chicago Bears	10	7.4	0.0	0.0
Las Vegas Raiders	17	7.6	0.0	0.0
Jacksonville Jaguars	28	9.6	77.1	0.8
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	32	8.6	63.9	0.8
Minnesota Vikings	6	7.3	2.8	0.0
Indianapolis Colts	27	9.5	51.2	0.4
New York Jets	24	6.5	0.0	0.0
Houston Texans	14	9.5	48.9	0.5
Los Angeles Chargers	4	5.2	0.0	0.0
Atlanta Falcons	11	7.4	12.6	0.1
New England Patriots	26	4.5	0.0	0.0
New York Giants	7	5.3	0.0	0.0
Tennessee Titans	21	5.4	0.0	0.0
Washington Commanders	8	4.2	0.0	0.0
Arizona Cardinals	18	4.4	0.0	0.0
Carolina Panthers	22	2.4	0.0	0.0

Baltimore Ravens: 30% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs

The Ravens have clinched the AFC North and the No. 1 seed in the AFC.
They are projected to go to the Super Bowl 50% of the time.
Baltimore has played the 18th-hardest schedule to date.

San Francisco 49ers: 21% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs

The 49ers have clinched NFC West and the No. 1 seed in the NFC.
They are projected to go to the Super Bowl 45% of the time.
They have played the 13th-easiest schedule to date.

Buffalo Bills: 11% to win Super Bowl & 95% to make playoffs

The Bills will win the AFC East with a win vs. the Miami Dolphins on Sunday.
Buffalo has played the seventh-easiest schedule to date.
They are projected to go to the Super Bowl 19% of the time.

Dallas Cowboys: 7% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs

The Cowboys can clinch the NFC East with a win vs. Washington Commanders on Sunday.
They can also clinch the NFC East if both they and the Philadelphia Eagles tie.
The Cowboys will win the division if the Philadelphia Eagles lose to the New York Giants.

Philadelphia Eagles: 7% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs

The Eagles clinch the NFC East with a win vs. the New York Giants and a Dallas Cowboys loss or tie vs. the Washington Commanders.
They also win the division with a tie vs. the New York Giants and a Dallas Cowboys loss vs. the Washington Commanders.
The Eagles are projected to go to the Super Bowl 15% of the time.

Kansas City Chiefs: 7% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs

Kansas City is projected to go to the Super Bowl 13% of the time.
The Chiefs have played the 13th-hardest schedule to date.
They are the third-ranked team in the PFF Power Rankings.

Miami Dolphins: 4% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs

The Dolphins clinch AFC East with a win vs. the Buffalo Bills on Sunday.
They have played the sixth-easiest schedule to date.
They are projected to go to the Super Bowl 9% of the time

Detroit Lions: 4% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs

The Lions have played the 11th-hardest schedule to date.
They are projected to go to the Super Bowl 10% of the time.
They are projected to win 11.7 games.

Los Angeles Rams: 3% to win Super Bowl and 100% to make playoffs

The Rams have played the 15th-hardest schedule to date.
They are projected to go to the Super Bowl 7% of the time.
They are projected to win 9.3 games.