• Bet Bills QB Josh Allen o2.5 pass TDs at Jets: PFF Greenline's second-biggest edge in Week 9 (18.4%).
• Bet Bucs -3 vs Rams: There’s still plenty of value on Tampa despite this not being the best of the number.
• Bet Saints moneyline vs Ravens: Lamar Jackson has struggled when he's not blitzed — and New Orleans sends extra rushers only 17% of time.
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Last updated: Nov. 6, 10:45 a.m.
Estimated reading time: 2 mins
Take a look at the odds for every Week 9 game, courtesy of BetMGM, followed by PFF Greenline and PFF staff best bets.
Sunday, Nov. 6
Los Angeles Chargers @ Atlanta Falcons
Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
Chargers | -2.5 (-110) | o49.5 (-110) | -145 |
Falcons | +2.5 (-110) | u49.5 (-110) | +120 |
• Bet Falcons TE Kyle Pitts — Under 3.5 receptions (-111): 2.5% PFF Greenline edge; Pitts has only gone over in 2/7 games so far, and Falcons could welcome back Cordarrelle Patterson.
Miami Dolphins @ Chicago Bears
Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
Dolphins | -4.5 (-110) | o46.5 (-105) | -200 |
Bears | +4.5 (-110) | u46.5 (-115) | +165 |
• Bet Darnell Mooney — Under 3.5 receptions (-111): His PFF grade of 67 ranks 54th among 94 receivers; arrival of Chase Claypool won't boost Mooney's volume.
• Bet Tyreek Hill anytime TD (+105): The NFL's leading receiver surprisingly has caught a touchdown in only one game, but that changes Sunday at Soldier Field.
Carolina Panthers @ Cincinnati Bengals
Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
Panthers | +7 (-115) | o42.5 (-110) | +260 |
Bengals | -7 (-105) | u42.5 (-110) | -350 |
• Bet P.J. Walker — Over 194.5 pass yards (-113): 5.4% PFF Greenline edge is the game's third-biggest; Walker's only cleared this number once in four starts, but should be favorable game script.
• Bet D.J. Moore — anytime TD (+225): He'll look to make it three straight games in the end zone — keeping his helmet on this time — and draws Cincinnati defense without top corner Chidobe Awuzie.
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions
Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
Packers | -3.5 (-110) | o49.5 (-110) | -200 |
Lions | +3.5 (-110) | u49.5 (-110) | +165 |
• Bet Aaron Rodgers — Over 1.5 rush yards (-111): This should be basically stealing against Lions' man-heavy scheme given Green Bay's receiving corps limitations.
Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots
Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
Colts | +5.5 (-110) | o40.5 (-110) | +200 |
Patriots | -5.5 (-110) | u40.5 (-110) | -250 |
• Bet Sam Ehlinger — Under 0.5 pass TDs (+184): 16.1% Greenline edge; Ehlinger's first-ever trip to Foxborough unlikely to result in high passing grade.
• Bet Colts +5.5: However, Ehlinger's legs can boost Colts' run game and help cover this number.
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets
Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
Bills | -11.5 (-110) | o46 (-110) | -600 |
Jets | +11.5 (-110) | u46 (-110) | +425 |
• Bet Bills QB Josh Allen — Over 2.5 pass TDs: PFF Greenline's second-biggest edge in Week 9 (18.4%).
• Bet Jills RB Michael Carter — Under 30.5 rush yards: He's currently dead last among qualifying backs in carries that go for negative rushing yards over expected (RYOE).
Minnesota Vikings @ Washington Commanders
Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
Vikings | -3 (-115) | o43.5 (-110) | -165 |
Commanders | +3 (-105) | u43.5 (-110) | +140 |
• Bet Taylor Heinicke — Under 0.5 INTs: 4.6% Greenline edge; Heinicke cut his turnover-worthy play percentage by more than half in his second start, but Vikings rank No. 9 in INT rate (2.8%).
Bet T.J. Hockenson — Under 33.5 receiving yards: We can look at Irv Smith's performance when healthy to give us a good idea of Hockenson's likely production (o33.5 yards in 2/7 games).
Las Vegas Raiders @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
Raiders | -2.5 (-110) | o48 (-110) | -145 |
Jaguars | +2.5 (-110) | u48 (-110) | +120 |
• Bet Davante Adams — Over 6.5 receptions (-116): After worst receiving day as a Raider in shutout in New Orleans, Adams feasts on Jacksonville's 23rd-graded coverage unit; 9.3% Greenline edge.
Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals
Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
Seahawks | +1.5 (-110) | o49 (-110) | +105 |
Cardinals | -1.5 (-110) | u49 (-110) | -125 |
• Bet Zach Ertz — Under 39.5 receiving yards (-112): 2.8% Greenline edge; 55 total receiving yards on nine combined targets since Hopkins' return.
• Bet DeAndre Hopkins — anytime TD (+105): 27 targets, including 22 catches, a fantastic one-handed TD among them; in rookie Tariq Woolen's toughest matchup yet, bet plus-price Nuk.
Los Angeles Rams @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
Rams | +3 (-105) | o42.5 (-110) | +130 |
Buccaneers | -3 (-115) | u42.5 (-110) | -155 |
• Bet Bucs -3 vs Rams: There’s still plenty of value on Tampa despite this not being the best of the number.
Tennessee Titans @ Kansas City Chiefs
Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
Titans | +12.5 (-110) | o45.5 (-110) | +450 |
Chiefs | -12.5 (-110) | u45.5 (-110) | -650 |
• Bet Patrick Mahomes — Over 2.5 pass TDs (+117): 15.5% PFF Greenline edge currently biggest in SNF.
• Bet Travis Kelce — Over 6.5 receptions (-109): 5.9% Greenline edge; Kelce over in 4/7 games this season, has week's biggest advantage vs LB Zach Cunningham, per PFF TE Matchup Chart.
Monday, Nov. 6
Baltimore Ravens @ New Orleans Saints
Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
Ravens | -2 (+100) | o47.5 (-110) | -140 |
Saints | +2 (-120) | u47.5 (-110) | +115 |
• Bet Saints moneyline + o23.5 team total: Andy Dalton top 5 in several stable QB metrics, including from a clean pocket, on early downs, without play action and in avoiding negative plays; Lamar Jackson has struggled when he's not blitzed — and New Orleans sends extra rushers only 17% of time.