• Bet Bills QB Josh Allen — Over 2.5 pass TDs (+161): After nearly 80 combined points and 1,000 total yards in the January instant classic, fun play with a huge Greenline edge (18.8%).
• Bet Jaguars RB Travis Etienne — Under 32.5 rush yards (-105): Game-high PFF Greenline edge of 6.3%.
• Bet Giants RB Saquon Barkley — Over 18.5 carries (+109): 5.4% PFF Greenline edge.
• New users who bet $10 or more at BetMGM will receive a free year’s subscription to PFF+ — a $79.99 value.
Last updated: Sun. Oct. 16, 10:00 a.m.
Estimated reading time: 2 mins
Take a look at the odds for every Week 6 game, courtesy of BetMGM, followed by PFF Greenline and PFF staff best bets.
Sunday, Oct. 16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Buccaneers | -9.5 (-115) | o46 (-110) | -450 |
Steelers | +9.5 (-105) | u46 (-110) | +340 |
• Bet QB Kenny Pickett u36.5 pass attempts (-116): Currently PFW Greenline's greatest edge of Week 6 — 39.7%.
• Bet WR Mike Evans o24.5 yards longest completion (-108): Steelers have allowed league-high 30 catches of 15+ yards; Evans has gone over this total in past 4 games.
Cincinnati Bengals @ New Orleans Saints
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Bengals | -3 (-110) | o43 (-110) | -155 |
Saints | +3 (-110) | u43 (-110) | +130 |
• Bet Bengals WR JaMarr Chase o6.5 receptions (+102): 7% PFF Greenline Edge.
• Bet Bengals QB Joe Burrow u0.5 INT (-119): Only one turnover-worthy play in past 72 drop backs.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Jaguars | +1.5 (-110) | o41 (-110) | +100 |
Colts | -1.5 (-110) | u41 (-110) | -120 |
• Bet Jaguars RB Travis Ettiene — Under 32.5 rush yards (-105): Game-high PFF Greenline edge of 6.3%.
• Bet Matt Ryan — Under 1.5 pass TDs vs. Jaguars (-130): Ryan is dead last in EPA/play when the defense plays a coverage where middle of the field is open (MOFO), which Jags do at NFL's sixth-highest rate.
New England Patriots @ Cleveland Browns
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Patriots | +2.5 (-110) | o43 (-110) | +115 |
Browns | -2.5 (-110) | u43 (-110) | -140 |
• Bet Patriots +2.5: Browns are 29th in EPA/play allowed defensively, while New England is 8th and appears equipped to stop fairly limited passing game.
• Bet Browns RB Nick Chubb o18.5 yards longest carry (-110): Chubb over this mark in past 10 games spanning to 2021 season.
New York Jets @ Green Bay Packers
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Jets | +7.5 (-110) | 45 (-110) | +280 |
Packers | -7.5 (-110) | 45 (-110) | -350 |
• Bet Jets RB Michael Carter — Under 7.5 carries (-102): Game-high 24.5% PFF Greenline edge.
Baltimore Ravens @ New York Giants
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Ravens | -5.5 (-110) | 46 (-110) | -250 |
Giants | +5.5 (-110) | 46 (-110) | +200 |
• Bet RB Saquon Barkley — Over 18.5 carries (+109): 5.4% PFF Greenline edge.
• Bet Ravens -6 at Giants: Toughest game of the season for Giants, and it’s doubtful they have the offense capable of keeping pace with the Ravens (8th in EPA/play, 6th in PFF pass-blocking).
Minnesota Vikings @ Miami Dolphins
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Vikings | -3 (-110) | o45.5 (-110) | -165 |
Dolphins | +3 (-110) | u45.5 (-110) | +135 |
Bet WR K.J. Osborn — Under 2.5 receptions (+100): Game-high PFF Greenline edge of 14%.
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
49ers | -4.5 (-110) | o45.5 (-110) | -225 |
Falcons | +4.5 (-110) | u45.5 (-110) | +180 |
Bet TE George Kittle — Under 3.5 receptions (+111): PFF Greenline edge of 11.6%.
Bet RB Jeff Wilson Jr. — Over 8.5 receiving yards (-110): At least one back has went over this mark against Atlanta, which has allowed the ninth-most total yards to the position.
Carolina Panthers @ Los Angeles Rams
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Panthers | +10 (-110) | o41.5 (-110) | +340 |
Rams | -10 (-110) | u41.5 (-110) | -450 |
Bet Rams WR Cooper Kupp — Over 7.5 receptions (-145): 11.8% PFF Greenline edge.
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Cardinals | -2.5 (-110) | o50.5 (-110) | -145 |
Seahawks | +2.5 (-110) | u50.5 (-110) | +120 |
• Bet WR Tyler Lockett — Over 5.5 catches (+120): PFF Greenline edge of 7.5%.
Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Bills | -2.5 (-110) | o54 (-110) | -145 |
Chiefs | +2.5 (-110) | u54 (-110) | +120 |
• Bet QB Josh Allen — Over 2.5 pass TDs (+161): After nearly 80 combined points and 1,000 total yards in the January instant classic, fun play with a huge Greenline edge (18.8%).
• Bet RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire — Under 2.5 receptions (+128): Game-high PFF Greenline edge of 26.6%.
Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Cowboys | +6.5 (-110) | o42 (-110) | +220 |
Eagles | -6.5 (-110) | u42 (-110) | -275 |
Bet Cowboys +6.5: PFF Greenline edge of 1.7%.
Monday, Oct. 17
Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers
Spread | Total | Moneyline | |
Broncos | +4.5 (-110) | o45.5 (-110) | +185 |
Chargers | -4.5 (-110) | u45.5 (-110) | -225 |
Bet Broncos ml: PFF Greenline edge of 3.4%.
Bet Broncos +4.5: Denver's defense is keeping games close — and the Chargers struggle to put teams away.