Fantasy Football: Week 2 expected fantasy points report

Welcome back to the expected fantasy football points report — as always, we are leveraging PFF’s expected fantasy points model based on a player’s usage to determine if their performance is real, a mirage or due for a bounce back.

In case you missed the primer at the beginning of the year, check out the introduction here to find out more about the process.

Quarterbacks

Player	Team	FPPG	xFPPG	+/-	Games
Joe Burrow	CIN	21.9	29.6	-7.6	2
Cam Newton	NE	30.6	29.1	1.5	2
Josh Allen	BUF	33.4	28.3	5.1	2
Dak Prescott	DAL	29.7	25.1	4.6	2
Ryan Fitzpatrick	MIA	14.4	23.8	-9.4	2
Aaron Rodgers	GB	24.8	23.6	1.2	2
Matt Ryan	ATL	26.7	22.1	4.6	2
Lamar Jackson	BLT	22.6	21.4	1.2	2
Daniel Jones	NYG	15.1	21.4	-6.3	2
Kyler Murray	ARZ	30.2	20.6	9.6	2

Last week, Josh Allen was a big winner. This week, he was almost as big of a winner, but this week his xFP was much lower. Through two weeks, he is third in xFPPG. This is a promising start to the year for the divisive quarterback, but so far he’s played the Jets and the Dolphins — not exactly confidence-inspiring for representation of his true output.

The new leader in the clubhouse for high xFP on the week is rookie Joe Burrow. Now, Burrow threw the football 61 times this game — a feat that has only been accomplished by a rookie once since the merger. His dink and dunk styling held back his actual FP performance, but it is promising that the Bengals’ coaching staff is letting him throw freely.