Comparing PFF’s fantasy rankings to ADP is a tried and true approach for finding value in 2021 fantasy football drafts. Targeting a select few players at or ahead of ADP allows us to build roster construction around players we have ranked higher than the consensus. Of course, the same goes for fading players we're lower on, allowing our opponents to overpay for them.
My PFF fantasy PPR rankings and tiers are a great place to get a sense of my feelings on certain players. This article will dive into the players I'm higher on than versus their current ADP in each round. Leverage this with my newly released perfect draft strategy guide 2.0 and build a juggernaut fantasy squad.
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ROUND 1
RB AARON JONES, GREEN BAY PACKERS | ADP 9, MY RANK 5
Jones has been nothing short of fantastic since entering the NFL in 2017, ranking third in PFF rushing grade (91.1) and fourth in yards per carry (5.1). Last year, the Packers running back was arguably at his best, as he rushed for a career-high 1,230 yards (5.6 yards per attempt) and ranked fourth in the league in yards after contact per attempt (3.6).
It's hard to view Jones as anything but a top-five fantasy running back considering how efficient he has been. After finishing the 2019 season as the RB2 overall (16.5 expected fantasy points per game), Jones came in as the RB5 in 2020 (16.8 expected fantasy points per game) while working in a timeshare. He finished this past season 12th in touches per game (17.7).
Not to mention that Jones has room for growth with the “thorn in his side” — Jamaal Williams (11 touches per game) — no longer with the team. Williams’ departure should create optimism for Jones' continued work in the receiving game. The Packers’ running back had at least 47 receptions in back-to-back seasons with Williams in the fold and ranks ninth in total targets among running backs.
ROUND 2
RB JOE MIXON, Cincinnati Bengals | ADP 21, MY RANK 15