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Fantasy Football Utilization Report: Latest player trends for NFL wild-card DFS and player props bets

Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Keenan Allen (13) runs with the ball in the first half against the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports

By Dwain McFarland

Editor's note: This year, PFF collaborated with Matthew Berry's Fantasy Life to bring readers the NFL Fantasy Football Utilization Report.

Volume is king in fantasy football, and this report will help you understand which players are due more or less according to their roles. It is a great way to know who is overperforming (sell high) and underperforming (buy low) based on historical data tied to metrics we know drive volume.

  • Overall offense: Which teams are enabling winning volume and efficiency across game scripts
  • Quarterbacks: How involved is each quarterback in the running game and who is unlocking upside for their weapons
  • Running backs: Which backs are handling early downs, short-yardage and passing downs
  • Tight ends: Who is running enough routes and meeting critical targets per route thresholds
  • Receivers: Which receivers are in the most routes and operating broadly within the offense

Get access to the full Utilization Report, all the data tables, and team-by-team analysis by subscribing to PFF+

Week 18 Takeaways

Upgrades

RB KENNETH WALKER III, SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

Walker tied his season-high snap share (87%) in Week 18 and has a 90% rush share or better in three of his last four games, which led to 12, 26, 23, and 29 rushing attempts. In that same time frame, he has also experienced an increased role in the two-minute offense, handling 53% of snaps.

Week Snaps Rush Att Routes Targets TPRR SDD Snaps i5 Att LDD Snaps 2MIN Snaps PPR
15 75% 92% 65% 13% 16% 75% 0% 8% 73% 11.9
16 53% 90% 26% 6% 18% 60% 0% 20% 29% 12.5
17 57% 64% 42% 4% 7% 71% 100% 31% 0% 15.2
18 87% 91% 66% 4% 4% 100% 100% 13% 57% 13.4
YTD 53% 57% 38% 6% 14% 59% 100% 19% 21% 13.5

We saw Walker briefly expand his passing-down role earlier this season, but it could stick this time around with Travis Homer placed on IR last week. After a surprising start to the 2022 campaign, the rookie’s TPRR has sagged recently and now rests well below historical RB2 levels at 14%.

The Seahawks will face the best run defense in the NFL on Super Wild Card Weekend, so it is hard to expect significant immediate returns on Walker with Seattle as 10-point dogs to the 49ers. In Week 15, the second-rounder registered 12 rushing attempts for 47 yards.

  • Walker’s utilization regains RB1 status, and his 2023 outlook is bright. This weekend’s outlook isn’t as rosy, but the matchup could provide a contrarian DFS play with 20-plus-touch potential.
RB JEFF WILSON JR., MIAMI DOLPHINS

Wilson has regained the lead in the Dolphins’ backfield over the last three games, with a 63% snap share and 52% rush share. The veteran RB has also delivered a 60% route participation or better in three straight games thanks to taking on the lead role in long-down-distance and two-minute situations.

Week Snaps Rush Att Routes Targets TPRR SDD Snaps i5 Att LDD Snaps 2MIN Snaps PPR
16 60% 43% 66% 9% 12% 0% 100% 71% 100% 11.0
17 65% 63% 60% 16% 23% 80% 0% 59% 60% 10.6
18 65% 52% 62% 8% 10% 50% 0% 67% 88% 9.4
YTD 25% 22% 22% 4% 14% 55% 23% 21% 27% 10.2

Miami has oscillated back and forth between Wilson and Raheem Mostert over the last two months, creating a confusing situation to decipher. However, Mostert broke his thumb in Week 18, and his status is in doubt for Super Wild Card Weekend, which could provide additional clarity.

  • Wilson once again profiles as a low-end RB2 which upgrades to high-end RB2 territory if Mostert doesn’t play against Buffalo.
WR KEENAN ALLEN, LOS ANGELES CHARGERS

Allen finished as the top WR with 30.2 points in the final week of the season, and he is the WR2 since returning in Week 11. He leads the Chargers with 79 targets (26%) over that time frame, and the fantasy production has followed, with WR19, WR21, WR11, WR9, WR19, WR9, WR25, and WR1 finishes.

Week Routes TPRR Targets ADOT Air Yards EZ Tgts 3rd/4th Down Targets PA Targets PPR
11 74% 29% 29% 13.5 42% 33% 60% 25% 14.4
12 93% 14% 16% 8.9 33% 60% 29% 29% 15.9
13 98% 22% 29% 14.8 48% 33% 42% 8% 21.8
14 91% 25% 28% 4.2 20% 25% 31% 38% 21.2
15 98% 20% 24% 8.8 25% 0% 56% 22% 16.6
16 89% 44% 48% 7.1 45% 100% 50% 36% 21.4
17 97% 16% 17% 8.2 19% 0% 13% 40% 11.8
18 85% 28% 26% 8.1 34% 50% 33% 9% 30.2
YTD 45% 24% 13% 9.0 17% 18% 17% 27% 16.7

The 10th-year veteran ranks 12th in PFF receiving grade (84.8), 16th in TPRR (24%), and 14th in YPRR (2.14) versus other WRs with at least 250 routes this season.

Mike Williams suffered a back contusion in Week 18, which puts his status for Saturday’s tilt against the Jaguars in question. We could see additional targets funnel toward Allen in a must-win game if Williams can't go.

  • Allen’s utilization profiles as a low-end WR1, which makes him a mid-range WR1 in a reduced field for playoff formats.

Downgrades

RB JOE MIXON, CINCINNATI BENGALS

Mixon has come through with RB10 and RB5 finishes in his last two outings, but his role isn’t what it was since returning from injury in Week 14. Before the injury, he averaged 73% of rushing attempts, which has fallen to 57%, and his role in the two-minute offense has disappeared.

Week Snaps Rush Att Routes Targets TPRR SDD Snaps i5 Att LDD Snaps 2MIN Snaps PPR
1 73% 93% 56% 16% 21% 86% 100% 13% 73% 21.5
2 75% 83% 52% 13% 17% 100% 0% 24% 71% 11.3
3 66% 44% 63% 18% 24% 60% 100% 23% 100% 6.8
4 83% 85% 59% 13% 19% 100% 100% 0% 0% 17.4
5 70% 67% 52% 10% 15% 75% 0% 9% 30% 11.8
6 72% 67% 58% 15% 21% 67% 0% 14% 0% 16.8
7 72% 81% 53% 8% 13% 63% 50% 29% 0% 18.1
8 72% 80% 63% 25% 32% 67% 0% 22% 78% 12.9
9 65% 56% 40% 14% 29% 83% 75% 25% 60% 55.1
11 21% 29% 17% 9% 43% 0% 0% 0% 0% 9.2
14 58% 61% 43% 7% 13% 67% 0% 13% 0% 12.6
15 64% 52% 44% 16% 32% 25% 100% 38% 0% 10.5
16 58% 62% 41% 18% 41% 86% 0% 17% 8% 17.8
18 55% 55% 48% 13% 23% 67% 100% 0% 0% 17.8
YTD 56% 55% 44% 12% 23% 61% 61% 15% 35% 17.1

Samaje Perine has carved out a significantly larger role after strong performances while Mixon was sidelined.

On a positive note, Mixon averages 6.7 targets since returning, with the Bengals getting him involved in the aerial attack on early downs. Cincinnati is the fourth-best offense at avoiding long-down and distance situations (58%), bolstering Mixon’s early-down role in a way many similar utilization RBs don’t enjoy.

  • Mixon remains a high-end RB for the fantasy playoffs thanks to the Bengals' offense, but his overall utilization profile mirrors that of an RB2 with the emergence of Perine.

Monitoring

RB TRAVIS ETIENNE, JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

In Week 17, we saw Etienne lose snaps to JaMycal Hasty, but it wasn’t alarming in a blowout win over the Texans. However, in a tight must-win contest against the Titans in Week 18, Etienne again saw his role reduced. The former-first rounder played 56% of snaps versus 48% for Hasty.

Since the James Robinson trade, Etienne hasn’t fallen below a 70% snap share excluding the Week 12 injury-shortened outing and Week 17 win over Houston. He has averaged 72% of rushing attempts over that span but fell to 50% in Week 18.

Trevor Lawrence accounted for a season-high 29% of designed rushing attempts last weekend, which isn’t likely to stick, so there is upside for Etienne to bounce back in the rushing department. However, the days of an every-down role could be over.

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS running backs

The Chiefs returned to a three-way backfield in Week 18, with Ronald Jones garnering a season-high 29% snap share and 38% rush share. The veteran RB’s utilization wasn’t limited to late-game opportunities he split snaps almost evenly with Isiah Pacheco in the first quarter.

Jerick McKinnon saw his lowest rush share (8%) since Week 12. Clyde Edwards-Helaire is also a threat to return after the Chiefs’ bye, which could limit opportunities for McKinnon and Pacheco.

The Chiefs are an offense capable of supporting high-end fantasy production on seemingly low utilization, so we still want exposure in best-ball playoff formats. However, a three-way committee would undoubtedly be a negative development.

RB JAMES COOK, BUFFALO BILLS

Week 18 marks the first time Cook bested Devin Singletary in snaps (56%) and rushing attempts (41%) in a game.

Week Snaps Rush Att Routes Targets TPRR SDD Snaps i5 Att LDD Snaps 2MIN Snaps PPR
15 36% 19% 37% 8% 20% 11% 0% 30% 33% 11.9
16 41% 39% 36% 8% 17% 40% 0% 22% 0% 17.8
17 27% 0% 14% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.0
18 56% 41% 43% 6% 13% 0% 0% 38% 38% 7.2
YTD 25% 23% 19% 6% 26% 13% 0% 19% 11% 6.7

Singletary still led the way in LDD scenarios (50%) and the two-minute offense (50%).

We don’t know how Buffalo will divide up their backfield in the playoffs, but there is a chance Cook becomes the lead option in a committee approach.

RB J.K. DOBBINS, BALTIMORE RAVENS

With Gus Edwards questionable for the first round of the playoffs, Dobbins could see a slight bump in value. Over the last four games, Dobbins averaged 14.3 rushing attempts per game, accounting for 47% of the rushing attempts.

If Edwards is out, we could see that total push closer to 60%, which would be significant in the Ravens’ run-first attack.

JUMP TO A TEAM:

BLT | BUF | CIN | DAL | JAX | KC | LAC | MIA | MIN | NYG | PHI | SF | SEA | TB

BALTIMORE RAVENS

Team ranks
Scoring Drive % TD Drive % Plays (Non-OT) Dropback (Non-OT) Rush (Non-OT) Plays per Minute Neutral Play Clock Time of Possession Trail Pass Close Pass Lead Pass
12 20 19 26 7 26 30 6 22 21 26

Pass-volume environment: Below average

Run-volume environment: Above average

The Ravens are a run-first offense. That is unlikely to change in the playoffs, given their lack of high-end receiving weapons beyond Mark Andrews and surging Isaiah Likely.

Quarterbacks
Player Week Pass Att ADOT Adj Comp % TTT YPA Play Action Designed Rush Att Scrambles Sacks i5 Att Checkdown PPR PPR Rank
Tyler Huntley 15 30 6.3 61% 2.7 4.6 20% 15% 6% 9% 0% 3% 5.8 30
16 17 12.4 67% 3.3 6.8 39% 29% 6% 0% 0% 0% 11.0 23
17 21 8.1 70% 2.8 6.2 24% 16% 12% 4% 0% 5% 10.6 22
18 0 0.0 0% 0.0 0.0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% #### 0.0 0
YTD 113 7.6 72% 2.9 5.8 23% 6% 11% 5% 6% 5% 10.1 41
Anthony Brown 15 0 0.0 0% 0.0 0.0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% #### 0.0 0
16 0 0.0 0% 0.0 0.0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% #### 0.0 0
17 0 0.0 0% 0.0 0.0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% #### 0.0 0
18 44 9.3 62% 2.5 6.5 23% 0% 0% 8% 0% 5% 9.4 25
YTD 49 9.4 61% 2.5 6.2 24% 1% 0% 9% 0% 4% 9.6 68
  • Injury Update: Lamar Jackson’s status is up in the air for wild-card weekend, and Tyler Huntley was held back in Week 18, opening the door for Anthony Brown to make a spot start.

Rest of season:

  • Lamar Jackson: mid-range QB1
  • Tyler Huntley: low-end QB2 until Jackson returns
Running backs
Player Week Snaps Rush Att Routes Targets TPRR SDD Snaps i5 Att LDD Snaps 2MIN Snaps PPR
J.K. Dobbins 15 38% 50% 16% 4% 17% 0% 0% 13% 15% 13.8
16 42% 35% 33% 7% 17% 50% 0% 18% 0% 5.9
17 50% 68% 15% 0% 0% 25% 0% 25% 0% 9.3
18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.0
YTD 18% 19% 12% 2% 11% 13% 22% 8% 2% 10.2
Gus Edwards 15 17% 27% 3% 0% 0% 67% 0% 0% 0% 5.5
16 40% 32% 17% 0% 0% 0% 0% 27% 0% 9.9
17 17% 12% 11% 0% 0% 50% 0% 0% 0% 0.2
18 6% 14% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1.6
YTD 15% 18% 5% 0% 3% 24% 11% 4% 0% 6.8
Kenyan Drake 15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.0
16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.0
17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.0
18 65% 57% 64% 10% 13% 40% 100% 35% 88% 15.9
YTD 33% 22% 29% 5% 15% 25% 17% 28% 41% 8.7
Justice Hill 15 38% 4% 43% 4% 6% 33% 0% 73% 77% 2.8
16 13% 0% 28% 7% 20% 0% 0% 55% 0% 1.4
17 33% 0% 48% 0% 0% 25% 0% 75% 100% 0.0
18 22% 25% 8% 0% 0% 60% 0% 35% 13% 3.4
YTD 24% 10% 22% 3% 10% 20% 0% 41% 52% 2.9
  • Injury Update: Gus Edwards left the contest with a head injury, leading to an increased role for Kenyan Drake, with J.K. Dobbins resting for the wild-card round.
  • Monitoring: With Edwards questionable for the first round of the playoffs, J.K. Dobbins could see a slight bump in value. Over the last four games, Dobbins averaged 14.3 rushing attempts per game in a timeshare with Edwards.

Rest of season:

  • J.K. Dobbins: low-end RB2; mid-range RB2 profile without Gus Edwards
  • Gus Edwards: high-end RB4
  • Justice Hill: free agent
  • Kenyan Drake: free agent
Receivers and tight ends
Player Pos Week Routes TPRR Targets ADOT Air Yards EZ Tgts 3rd/4th Down Targets PA Targets PPR PPR Rank
DeMarcus Robinson WR 15 76% 22% 21% 5.2 18% 0% 0% 50% 8.9 48
16 44% 13% 7% 12.0 6% 50% 17% 0% 7.6 47
17 74% 16% 15% 13.7 25% 0% 14% 33% 1.9 91
18 68% 28% 23% 7.6 19% 50% 18% 22% 4.4 73
YTD 62% 21% 16% 9.9 18% 23% 14% 24% 6.2 67
Sammy Watkins WR 15 0% 0% 0% 0.0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.0 0
16 44% 13% 7% 26.0 14% 0% 0% 0% 5.0 65
17 37% 0% 0% 0.0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.0 135
18 58% 14% 10% 17.0 19% 0% 9% 25% 9.9 42
YTD 8% 13% 1% 18.8 2% 0% 4% 20% 4.0 119
James Proche WR 15 8% 67% 7% 15.0 17% 0% 20% 0% 0.0 116
16 0% 0% 0% 0.0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.0 0
17 11% 0% 0% 0.0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.0 136
18 52% 12% 8% 16.7 14% 0% 18% 33% 0.0 151
YTD 24% 12% 4% 10.0 4% 0% 6% 19% 0.9 162
Tylan Wallace WR 15 0% 0% 0% 0.0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.0 0
16 0% 0% 0% 0.0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.0 0
17 0% 0% 0% 0.0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.0 0
18 30% 7% 3% 7.0 2% 0% 0% 100% 2.2 95
YTD 8% 13% 1% 15.0 2% 0% 2% 50% 0.9 177
Mark Andrews TE 15 92% 22% 25% 8.0 32% 0% 40% 14% 6.1 24
16 100% 22% 27% 7.3 16% 0% 17% 50% 7.5 19
17 100% 36% 45% 7.2 40% 0% 43% 22% 19.0 3
18 0% 0% 0% 0.0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.0 0
YTD 76% 26% 25% 10.2 28% 23% 23% 38% 12.6 4
Isaiah Likely TE 15 62% 14% 11% 5.0 8% 0% 10% 0% 3.8 36
16 44% 25% 13% 5.0 5% 50% 17% 50% 1.4 55
17 59% 36% 25% 1.0 3% 50% 29% 0% 10.2 20
18 86% 29% 31% 9.8 32% 0% 27% 25% 18.3 3
YTD 48% 21% 12% 7.4 10% 14% 15% 25% 5.7 27

• Monitoring: The Ravens continue to use a rotation at WR and lack an option that has a track record associated with demanding targets.

• Upgrade: Isaiah Likely has a bright future if the Ravens can figure out how to get him on the field with Mark Andrews. In Week 18, with Andrews resting, the rookie registered a top-three TE finish with 18.3 fantasy points. He dominated the team in target share at 31%, coming off of a 25% performance in Week 17 with Andrews. His TPRR now sits at a healthy 21% on the season.

Likely is a mid-range TE2 with upside if the coaching staff makes 12 personnel a staple or if they provide Likely with more snaps at WR.

Rest of season:

  • DeMarcus Robinson: low-end WR4
  • Mark Andrews: high-end TE1
  • Isaiah Likely: mid-range TE2 with upside

BUFFALO BILLS

Team ranks
Scoring Drive % TD Drive % Plays (Non-OT) Dropback (Non-OT) Rush (Non-OT) Plays per Minute Neutral Play Clock Time of Possession Trail Pass Close Pass Lead Pass
2 4 10 7 20 5 16 19 28 2 2

Pass-volume environment: Good

Run-volume environment: Below average

Quarterbacks
Player Week Pass Att ADOT Adj Comp % TTT YPA Play Action Designed Rush Att Scrambles Sacks i5 Att Checkdown PPR PPR Rank
Josh Allen 15 40 11.8 76% 2.8 7.6 30% 27% 7% 4% 67% 8% 35.9 1
16 26 11.5 60% 3.3 6.6 45% 7% 13% 3% 0% 15% 23.0 7
17 0 0.0 0% 0.0 0.0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% #### 0.0 0
18 31 14.9 71% 3.5 8.2 28% 27% 8% 6% 0% 10% 22.7 2
YTD 567 9.7 75% 2.9 7.6 26% 18% 9% 5% 47% 10% 27.7 2

Rest of season:

  • Josh Allen: high-end QB1
Running backs
Player Week Snaps Rush Att Routes Targets TPRR SDD Snaps i5 Att LDD Snaps 2MIN Snaps PPR PPR Rank
Devin Singletary 15 60% 50% 45% 11% 17% 89% 0% 60% 67% 10.0 36
16 58% 43% 44% 12% 21% 60% 0% 67% 0% 20.5 8
17 73% 0% 71% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0.0 0
18 41% 32% 32% 3% 8% 100% 100% 50% 50% 4.2 53
YTD 65% 46% 55% 9% 13% 73% 41% 66% 77% 11.6 23
James Cook 15 36% 19% 37% 8% 20% 11% 0% 30% 33% 11.9 28
16 41% 39% 36% 8% 17% 40% 0% 22% 0% 17.8 11
17 27% 0% 14% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.0 0
18 56% 41% 43% 6% 13% 0% 0% 38% 38% 7.2 36
YTD 25% 23% 19% 6% 26% 13% 0% 19% 11% 6.7 44
Nyheim Hines 15 4% 0% 6% 3% 33% 0% 0% 10% 0% 8.0 40
16 5% 4% 6% 8% 100% 0% 0% 11% 0% 2.1 70
17 9% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.0 0
18 5% 0% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 13% 13% 0.0 103
YTD 6% 2% 5% 2% 27% 10% 0% 10% 4% 4.3 62
  • Monitoring: Week 18 marks the first time James Cook bested Devin Singletary in the snap (56%) and rushing attempt (41%) departments in a game. We don’t know for sure how Buffalo will divide up their backfield in the playoffs, but there is a chance Cook becomes the lead option in a committee approach.

Rest of season:

  • Devin Singletary: low-end RB3
  • James Cook: upside RB4
  • Nyheim Hines: stash RB5
Receivers and tight ends
Player Pos Week Routes TPRR Targets ADOT Air Yards EZ Tgts 3rd/4th Down Targets PA Targets PPR PPR Rank
Stefon Diggs WR 15 92% 19% 22% 13.0 24% 20% 33% 38% 10.7 39
16 83% 8% 8% 12.5 9% 0% 0% 100% 4.6 69
17 100% 0% 0% 0.0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.0 0
18 86% 31% 32% 16.7 36% 14% 33% 50% 23.4 4
YTD 86% 26% 28% 11.9 34% 40% 24% 33% 19.8 4
Gabriel Davis WR 15 100% 15% 19% 16.9 27% 0% 22% 29% 9.6 46
16 92% 21% 24% 18.2 38% 100% 20% 50% 13.5 29
17 86% 0% 0% 0.0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.0 0
18 84% 33% 32% 18.2 39% 43% 50% 10% 6.8 59
YTD 88% 16% 17% 16.3 29% 24% 22% 22% 11.6 35
Isaiah McKenzie WR 15 65% 14% 11% 19.0 17% 0% 33% 25% 4.4 72
16 31% 20% 8% 27.5 19% 0% 0% 0% 0.6 106
17 43% 0% 0% 0.0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.0 0
18 73% 12% 10% 7.0 5% 0% 17% 0% 3.9 80
YTD 57% 16% 12% 8.3 10% 7% 17% 16% 8.0 55
Khalil Shakir WR 15 16% 0% 0% 0.0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.0 119
16 42% 8% 4% 5.0 2% 0% 0% 100% 1.5 97
17 14% 0% 0% 0.0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.0 0
18 24% 22% 6% 20.0 9% 14% 0% 0% 3.8 82
YTD 21% 12% 3% 12.0 4% 4% 2% 12% 2.3 133
Dawson Knox WR 15 80% 21% 22% 11.1 20% 20% 11% 50% 21.8 3
16 67% 24% 20% 10.4 18% 0% 40% 40% 12.8 9
17 71% 0% 0% 0.0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.0 0
18 73% 8% 6% 4.5 2% 14% 0% 50% 9.3 14
YTD 71% 14% 12% 8.1 10% 13% 11% 35% 9.0 14

Rest of season:

  • Stefon Diggs: high-end WR1
  • Gabriel Davis: boom-bust WR4
  • Isaiah McKenzie: mid-range WR5
  • Khalil Shakir: stash WR6
  • Dawson Knox: high-end TE2

CINCINNATI BENGALS

Team ranks
Scoring Drive % TD Drive % Plays (Non-OT) Dropback (Non-OT) Rush (Non-OT) Plays per Minute Neutral Play Clock Time of Possession Trail Pass Close Pass Lead Pass
7 5 7 5 22 19 21 2 11 1 6

Pass-volume environment: Above average

Run-volume environment: Below average

 

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