A couple weeks ago, I introduced my opportunity scores model, which combines a few metrics for position group strength with best ball average draft position (ADP) to quantify which teams have the most opportunity for rookie wide receivers and running backs in 2020. After Round 1, I looked into the opportunity for all wide receivers and running backs drafted and added commentary around where I expect ADPs to move post-draft.
[Editor’s Note: PFF's instant analysis on EVERY pick of the 2020 NFL Draft can be found here. You can also find all of our pre-draft and up-to-the-minute analysis categorized and readily available here. Get your copy of the PFF 2020 NFL Draft Guide today by clicking here.]
Below, I’ll update the opportunity scores for running backs drafted in the second and third rounds. (Find updated opportunity scores for second- and-third round wide receivers here.) I'll also walk through the ADPs of the position group each selection is joining, highlighting whether the rookie addition should slot in immediately as a strong producer and have a clear window to RB1 or RB2 status in the near future.
PICK 35: D’ANDRE SWIFT, DETROIT LIONS
Swift was expected to be the first running back selected in the draft, but that honor went to Clyde Edwards-Helaire, whom the Chiefs took with the last pick of the first round. Swift’s steady ADP through the offseason showed the confidence drafters had that he’d be selected early, and going three picks into the second round qualifies as a high investment in a running back.
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