Happy Week 7!
Six weeks of football are in the books. Madness. Bye weeks are upon us, and injuries have unfortunately continued to take a toll on offenses around the league. Focusing on the long-term view is usually the right move in most walks of life, but it’s also important in fantasy football land to not be afraid to attack each week as its own mini one-game season.
What follows are my Week 7 QB rankings. Note that these are not season-long lists or projections; I’m purely ranking based on who I believe will score more fantasy points this week with a focus on 1) What the QB has achieved in recent weeks, 2) Injuries or workload changes that could impact their production, and 3) This week’s matchup. Each matchup’s opening spread and game total are listed in parentheses.
1. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS QB RUSSELL WILSON AT ARIZONA CARDINALS (SEA -3.5, 54.5)
Wilson had his worst game of the season the last time we saw the Seahawks play in Week 5, throwing for 217 yards, 3 TDs and one interception while also posting a 5-58-0 rushing line.
Yes, the bar is absurdly high for chef Russ and company at the moment. Expect a strong “bounce-back” performance this Sunday against a Cardinals defense that could struggle to create consistent pressure without stud pass-rusher Chandler Jones (bicep, IR).
Twenty-four QBs have thrown more than 15 deep-ball attempts (20-plus yards downfield); nobody has been better than Russ:
- PFF Passing Grade: 99.9 (No. 1)
- Big-time throws: 13 (tied for No. 1)
- Turnover-worthy plays: 0 (tied for No. 1)
- Yards per attempt: 22.2 (No. 1)
- Adjusted completion percentage: 63.6% (No. 1)
- QB rating: 143 (No. 1)
The Cardinals defense isn’t awful; Wilson is just playing at a high enough level to earn overall QB treatment in a sneaky fast-paced matchup that could produce more snaps than usual for the Seahawks offense.
2. BUFFALO BILLS QB JOSH ALLEN AT NEW YORK JETS (BUF -10, 48)
Allen hasn’t been quite the same baller in recent weeks as we saw during the first four weeks of the season, but it’s still hard to treat him as anything other than a top-five fantasy QB. The man has made a number of fantastic plays that some other signal-callers would only dream of even attempting.
Josh Allen is your favorite quarterback's favorite quarterback pic.twitter.com/fbfslDH210
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) October 9, 2020
Up next is a matchup against a Jets defense that has struggled to contain Allen as a rusher over the years.
- Week 14, 2018: 18-for-36, 206 pass yards, 0 TD, 2 INT; 9-101-1 rushing
- Week 1, 2019: 24-for-37, 254 pass yards, 1 TD, 2 INT; 10-38-1 rushing
- Week 1, 2020: 33-for-46, 312 pass yards, 2 TD, 0 INT; 14-57-1 rushing
The new-look Bills’ passing attack didn’t have much trouble against this secondary in Week 1, and we shouldn’t expect many additional problems from PFF’s 24th-ranked defense in team coverage grade.
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