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PFF Edge subscribers are always one step ahead of their fantasy football competition, with knowledge such as fantasy points scored above expectation being a tell-tale sign that regression is approaching.

Data-driven decisions are the method behind the madness in the Week 5 edition of the 2021 PFF fantasy football start ‘em or sit ‘em. 

Jump to a position group:

QB | RB | WR | TE | D/ST

QUARTERBACKS

START

MATTHEW STAFFORD, LOS ANGELES RAMS

Stafford should have gone nuclear versus the Arizona Cardinals with his 33.5-point expected output in fantasy, but he finished with the most points scored under expectation. 

However, as savvy fantasy gamers know, good quarterbacks who perform under expectation one week tend to bounce back massively the following week. 

That's especially true when the opponent for said rebound game is the Seattle Seahawks, who rank 31st in passing yards allowed in 2021. Stafford ranks second in the NFL with 11 passing touchdowns, so be confident he blows up on Thursday night. 

Seattle’s Cover 3 defense is exactly what Stafford and the Rams' offense need to get back on track. He owns PFF’s second-highest passing grade (90.9) versus the scheme to go along with 9.4 yards per attempt and a 79.2% completion percentage.

Related: NFL Week 5 Fantasy Football Rankings via Andrew Erickson

JOE BURROW, CINCINNATI BENGALS

Trading for Burrow is the move to make at the quarterback position because he is about to light the fantasy world ablaze. He will face the second-easiest strength of schedule through the next four weeks and was on fire in his past two contests.