NFL Week 10 Fantasy Football Rankings

Stefon Diggs has one top-15 finish, the Denver Broncos boast two top-24 running backs, and New York Jets quarterbacks have more top-five finishes than Russell Wilson — just like we all predicted.

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All jokes aside, it’s crazy how much is different after nine completed games. The constant change has made it critical to continually tweak fantasy football player rankings based on new information and trends. Realizing that Diggs’ 22% target share is down significantly from last season (29%) cannot be overlooked when projecting his fantasy ceiling.

With plenty of PFF premium stats available to adjust rankings based on a player’s high-value opportunities, expected fantasy point output and routes run participation, it will be easy to highlight the best waiver wire pickups, optimal starts/sits and under-the-radar trade targets/DFS plays.

Those key data points — along with PFF player grades, implied team totals, PFF fantasy projections and strength of schedule — are all factored to mold my position-by-position Week 10 fantasy football rankings.

2021 WEEK 10 QB FANTASY FOOTBALL RANKINGS

Name	Team	Rank	Tier
Lamar Jackson	BAL	1	1
Josh Allen	BUF	2	1
Tom Brady	TB	3	1
Matthew Stafford	LAR	4	1
Dak Prescott	DAL	5	1
Justin Herbert	LAC	6	2
Jalen Hurts	PHI	7	2
Derek Carr	LV	8	2
Kirk Cousins	MIN	9	2
Aaron Rodgers	GB	10	2
Russell Wilson	SEA	11	2
Patrick Mahomes II	KC	12	3
Matt Ryan	ATL	13	3
Carson Wentz	IND	14	3
Kyler Murray	ARI	15	3
Ryan Tannehill	TEN	16	3
Taylor Heinicke	WAS	17	4
Teddy Bridgewater	DEN	18	4
Jimmy Garoppolo	SF	19	4
Ben Roethlisberger	PIT	20	4
Jacoby Brissett	MIA	21	5
Baker Mayfield	CLE	22	5
Mike White	NYJ	23	5
Trevor Lawrence	JAC	24	5
Mac Jones	NE	25	5
P.J. Walker	CAR	26	5
Jared Goff	DET	27	5
Trevor Siemian	NO	28	5
Taysom Hill	NO	29	5
Cam Newton	CAR	30	5
Trey Lance	SF	31	5
Colt McCoy	ARI	32	5
Jordan Love	GB	33	5
Tua Tagovailoa	MIA	34	5
Zach Wilson	NYJ	35	5

DAK PRESCOTT, DALLAS COWBOYS

It was a day to forget for Dallas on Sunday, as Prescott and the entire offense struggled immensely. Prescott completed less than 50% of his pass attempts — his lowest completion rate since his rookie season. He was out of sorts after so much time off.

Dak Prescott has finished with a sub-50% completion percentage three times in his career – including Sunday versus the Broncos.

the last two times he followed up with the following performances:

– 78% completion rate
– 89% completion rate#bouncebackszn

— Andrew Erickson™ (@AndrewErickson_) November 9, 2021

And as a result, CeeDee Lamb and Amari Cooper tanked fantasy lineups. Nonetheless, they still combined for over 300 air yards and six deep targets. That’s the tell-tale sign that this entire passing game is slated to bounce back ahead of a matchup versus the Atlanta Falcons, who rank 25th in explosive pass-play rate faced this season. They also rank 30th in passer rating and 32nd in EPA per play allowed when facing 11 personnel (one running back, one tight end and three wide receivers), which Dallas ran more of last week without Blake Jarwin.

Dallas Cowboys 11 personnel usage

Weeks 1-8: 54%
Week 9: 82% – no Blake Jarwin

Michael Gallup 🚀https://t.co/v1psrlwDZf

— Andrew Erickson™ (@AndrewErickson_) November 9, 2021

With Michael Gallup back as the No. 3 wide receiver role, look for Prescott to turn in a top-five fantasy quarterback week.

The Cowboys quarterback is also a screaming buy-low candidate with the easiest schedule over the next five weeks.

KIRK COUSINS, MINNESOTA VIKINGS

In the Week 9 DFS cheat sheet, I wrote about Cousins’ advantage versus the Baltimore Ravens’ Cover 1 and 3 base defense. He posted a serviceable passing outing as a result — 20-plus fantasy points. Get ready to head straight back to the Cousins well this week, as the Los Angeles Chargers also run a lot of Cover 1 and 3 looks, so expect another efficient outing from Captain Kirk.

Through nine weeks, The Vikings passer owns PFF’s third-highest grade (88.4) when facing those schemes.

DEREK CARR, LAS VEGAS RAIDERS

Sunday Night Football presents a massive bounce-back spot for Carr, who not only missed Darren Waller twice in the end zone last week but also Zay Jones and Bryan Edwards as well. The Raiders quarterback finished 1-for-7 on passes into the end zone. Because of the plethora of high-value throws, Carr concluded Week 9 with a whopping 29.4 expected fantasy points.

Be sure to have him in all season-long and DFS lineups against the Kansas City Chiefs with positive touchdown regress firmly in sight.

Adding speedy vertical deep threat DeSean Jackson to the mix should also heighten Carr’s fantasy ceiling. Carr posted an abysmal 22.8 PFF passing grade on throws 20-plus yards downfield versus the New York Giants. In Weeks 1-8, Carr was PFF’s fourth-graded passer on deep throws (95.8).

Kansas City ranks 29th in passer rating allowed on attempts of 20-plus air yards.