As a PFF Fantasy reader, you no doubt strive to make sophisticated, informed fantasy decisions. It is the pursuit that drove fantasy analysts to look past receptions to targets and to look past touchdowns to red-zone and end-zone targets. Cornerback matchups are at the frontier of that analysis, and the research from my previous article demonstrated why that trail isn’t well-worn. Contrary to the consensus opinion, an elite corner’s presence on the field does not by itself hurt a receiver’s production. That corner also must regularly shadow the receiver to turn the game into a bad matchup for him.
That epiphany started with the mystery from my last article of why the top cover corners in recent seasons have had so small of an impact on the fantasy success of top receivers. I worried that my new Yards Added metric had somehow missed the mark, but the game logs of the top receivers who faced Josh Norman in 2015 provided a simpler explanation.
Top Receiver Production in Games with Josh Norman, 2015 | |||||
Week | Receiver | Team | Shadow% | Rec | Yards |
1 | Allen Robinson | JAX | 50.0% | 1 | 27 |
2 | DeAndre Hopkins | HOU | 63.6% | 5 | 53 |
3 | Brandin Cooks | NO | 37.5% | 7 | 79 |
4 | Vincent Jackson | TB | 42.9% | 10 | 147 |
6 | Doug Baldwin | SEA | 25.0% | 3 | 23 |
8 | T.Y. Hilton | IND | 50.0% | 1 | 15 |
9 | Davante Adams | GB | 18.2% | 7 | 105 |
10 | Justin Hunter | TEN | 25.0% | 4 | 47 |
11 | DeSean Jackson | WAS | 42.9% | 5 | 87 |
12 | Dez Bryant | DAL | 71.4% | 2 | 26 |
13 | Brandin Cooks | NO | 44.4% | 6 | 104 |
14 | Julio Jones | ATL | 66.7% | 7 | 88 |
15 | Odell Beckham Jr. | NYG | 77.8% | 6 | 76 |
16 | Julio Jones | ATL | 54.5% | 9 | 178 |
17 | Mike Evans | TB | 55.6% | 4 | 99 |