In this week’s preview of the NFL slate, I'm highlighting key insights on the seven games that I didn’t review in PFF’s huge NFL Week 6 Preview.
I'll identify sleepers, busts, DFS picks and waiver-wire options with consideration for injuries and other fantasy-relevant news and notes. It’s the behind the scenes look into my weekly fantasy rankings.
I’ll also add some suggested potential replacements for players from the Atlanta Falcons and Minnesota Vikings — the NFL announced on Thursday that the Falcons’ facility was shut down in light of multiple positive test results. We just learned Friday morning that the Indianapolis Colts have closed their facility after positive tests as well.
This has become a weekly theme in 2020, so we need to be prepared with contingency plans.
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans
The Houston Texans have allowed the second-highest touchdown rate (12.1%) and quarterback rating (143.4) to wide receivers from the slot this season. That doesn’t impact A.J. Brown, who is already in a great spot against the Texans — they've allowed the fourth-most receiving yards to WRs over the past two weeks — but it makes Titans slot receivers Adam Humphries and Kalif Raymond extremely enticing from a DFS perspective at just $4,000 and $3,200, respectively.
Brown is going to be shadowed by Texans cornerback Bradley Roby, but that is a matchup I expect the Titans’ receiver to win. Last season, Brown went over 100 receiving yards in both games he played against the Texans.
In coverage versus just Robey in one of those matchups, Brown compiled three catches, 27 yards and a touchdown receptions on six targets.
Corey Davis is still on the COVID/reserve list, so if he misses a second straight week it’s hard to imagine building a cash lineup in DFS without Brown at his $5,600 price point.
Both starting running backs in this matchup find themselves inside my top 16 this week. Derrick Henry should feast on the Texans, who have allowed the most rushing yards to running backs this season, and David Johnson should be solid versus the Titans and the whopping 5.6 yards per carry they've allowed this season to opposing running backs.
Tennessee has also allowed the highest rate of rushing yards after contact per attempt (3.8) this season.
Johnson has seen 18-plus touches the past two weeks even with Duke Johnson back in the mix, so the volume and matchup should prove to be a favorable fantasy outing.
Will Fuller also remains as a top-option for me this week sliding inside my top 12 wide receivers. The Titans have allowed the second-most fantasy points over the past four weeks to wide receivers and Fuller has averaged 19.8 fantasy points per game in his four healthy games this season. Brandin Cooks is ranked much lower because of his inconsistent play so far this year but is a viable WR3/FLEX option in the solid matchup.
Both receivers should see plenty of cornerback Malcolm Butler, who Deshaun Watson has torched in years past. Since 2018, Watson has the highest passer rating (118.5) when targeting a receiver that Butler is covering.
This year, Butler ranks 44th out of 50 qualifying cornerbacks in PFF’s coverage grade.
New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins
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