DFS success boils down to finding the highest-scoring fantasy football players at each position in a given week. With close to 20 playable options at the quarterback and tight end positions, along with even more at the running back and wide receiver positions, it is a feat in itself to identify one position correctly.
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To finish at the top of a DFS contest, you must hit on basically all skill positions and circumvent the randomness associated with selecting defenses. Doing all of this while also fitting under the confines of a salary cap makes DFS one of the most difficult setups to beat consistently, especially for large-field tournaments.
SALARY-ADJUSTED FANTASY PERFORMANCE
One of the best ways to find value opportunities on a given slate is to start with the salary-adjusted expectation for all players. Because DraftKings has been around for over six years, we now have a worthwhile dataset of player salaries and their resulting fantasy performances. By figuring out the expectation based on each player’s salary and position, we can compare their salary-expected fantasy performance to PFF’s fantasy projections. Doing this highlights the best value plays based on salary.
| Player | Position | Team | DK Salary | Salary Expectation | Proj. Fantasy Pts | Proj. Above Salary Expectation |
| Ronald Jones | HB | TB | 5100 | 10.50 | 17.91 | 7.41 |
| Antonio Brown | WR | TB | 4900 | 9.80 | 16.56 | 6.76 |
| Nico Collins | WR | HST | 3400 | 5.08 | 11.60 | 6.52 |
| Byron Pringle | WR | KC | 3300 | 4.76 | 11.08 | 6.32 |
| Mecole Hardman | WR | KC | 3500 | 5.39 | 11.24 | 5.85 |
| James Robinson | HB | JAX | 5900 | 13.02 | 18.28 | 5.26 |
| Josh Jacobs | HB | LV | 6000 | 13.33 | 18.46 | 5.13 |
| Jared Cook | TE | LAC | 3500 | 6.09 | 11.14 | 5.05 |
| Kalif Raymond | WR | DET | 3900 | 6.65 | 11.36 | 4.71 |
| Chris Conley | WR | HST | 3300 | 4.76 | 9.27 | 4.51 |
| D.J. Moore | WR | CAR | 5700 | 12.32 | 16.81 | 4.49 |
| Hayden Hurst | TE | ATL | 2600 | 3.25 | 7.71 | 4.46 |
PASS-CATCHING BLOWUP MODEL
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