DFS success boils down to finding the highest-scoring fantasy football players at each position in a given week. With close to 20 playable options at quarterback and tight end, along with even more at running back and wide receiver, it is a feat in itself to identify one position correctly.
To finish at the top of a DFS contest, you must hit on basically all skill positions and circumvent the randomness associated with selecting defenses. Doing all of this while also fitting under the confines of a salary cap makes DFS one of the most difficult setups to beat consistently, especially for large-field tournaments.
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SALARY-ADJUSTED FANTASY PERFORMANCE
One of the best ways to find value opportunities for a given NFL slate is to start with the salary-adjusted expectation for all players. Because DraftKings has been around for over six years, we now have a worthwhile dataset of player salaries and their resulting fantasy performances. By figuring out the expectation based on each player’s salary and position, we can compare their salary-expected fantasy performance to PFF’s fantasy projections. Doing this highlights the best value plays based on salary.
Player | Position | Team | DK Salary | Salary Expectation | Proj. Fantasy Pts | Proj. Above Salary Expectation |
Jamaal Williams | HB | DET | 5400 | 11.50 | 19.02 | 7.52 |
Josh Reynolds | WR | DET | 3400 | 5.10 | 11.36 | 6.26 |
Foster Moreau | TE | LV | 2700 | 3.58 | 9.39 | 5.81 |
Laquon Treadwell | WR | JAX | 3200 | 4.47 | 9.38 | 4.91 |
Darrell Henderson | HB | LA | 6100 | 13.70 | 18.46 | 4.76 |
Jared Cook | TE | LAC | 3100 | 4.84 | 9.12 | 4.28 |
Van Jefferson | WR | LA | 5300 | 11.09 | 15.27 | 4.18 |
James Conner | HB | ARZ | 5900 | 13.07 | 17.07 | 4.00 |
Brandon Aiyuk | WR | SF | 5600 | 12.04 | 15.98 | 3.94 |
Jauan Jennings | WR | SF | 3100 | 4.16 | 8.08 | 3.92 |
Adam Shaheen | TE | MIA | 2500 | 2.95 | 6.86 | 3.91 |
Myles Gaskin | HB | MIA | 5800 | 12.76 | 16.61 | 3.85 |
Olamide Zaccheaus | WR | ATL | 3800 | 6.36 | 10.12 | 3.76 |
Marvin Jones Jr. | WR | JAX | 4700 | 9.20 | 12.61 | 3.41 |
Zach Pascal | WR | IND | 3500 | 5.42 | 8.76 | 3.34 |
Kyle Pitts | TE | ATL | 5600 | 12.71 | 15.83 | 3.12 |
PASS-CATCHING BLOWUP MODEL