DFS success boils down to finding the highest-scoring fantasy football players at each position in a given week. With close to 20 playable options at quarterback and tight end, along with even more at the running back and wide receiver positions, it is a feat in itself to identify one position correctly.
To finish at the top of a DFS contest, you must hit on basically all skill positions and circumvent the randomness associated with selecting defenses. Doing all of this while also fitting under the confines of a salary cap makes DFS one of the most difficult setups to beat consistently, especially for large-field tournaments.
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SALARY-ADJUSTED FANTASY PERFORMANCE
One of the best ways to find value opportunities on a given slate is to start with the salary-adjusted expectation for all players. Because DraftKings has been around for over six years, we now have a worthwhile dataset of player salaries and their resulting fantasy performances. By figuring out the expectation based on each player’s salary and position, we can compare their salary-expected fantasy performance to PFF’s fantasy projections. Doing this highlights the best value plays based on salary.
Player | Position | Team | DK Salary | Salary Expectation | Proj. Fantasy Pts | Proj. Above Salary Expectation |
Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 5400 | 11.42 | 18.21 | 6.79 |
DeVante Parker | WR | MIA | 4000 | 7.00 | 12.42 | 5.42 |
Tyler Boyd | WR | CIN | 4800 | 9.53 | 14.64 | 5.11 |
D.J. Moore | WR | CAR | 5900 | 13.00 | 17.83 | 4.83 |
Laviska Shenault Jr. | WR | JAX | 4100 | 7.32 | 11.18 | 3.86 |
A.J. Dillon | HB | GB | 6200 | 14.04 | 17.84 | 3.80 |
Myles Gaskin | HB | MIA | 5700 | 12.46 | 16.20 | 3.74 |
Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 7200 | 17.10 | 20.56 | 3.46 |
Tyler Lockett | WR | SEA | 6000 | 13.31 | 16.65 | 3.34 |
Jarvis Landry | WR | CLV | 5100 | 10.47 | 13.65 | 3.18 |
David Njoku | TE | CLV | 2900 | 4.21 | 7.37 | 3.16 |
PASS-CATCHING BLOWUP MODEL
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