• Taliese Fuaga and Olumuyiwa Fashanu are not among the top selections: Users see these two tackles as options for the New York Jets at No. 10, Las Vegas Raiders at No. 13, Cincinnati Bengals at No. 18 and Los Angeles Rams at No. 19.
• Could the Bears trade down? Users overwhelmingly want one of the top three receivers with the ninth overall selection, but when those players are off the board, it’s a close race between Byron Murphy II and the top edge defenders.
• Try PFF's Mock Draft Simulator: You can trade picks and players and draft for your favorite NFL team.
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We’re back with more insights using PFF’s Mock Draft Simulator, this time creating the most fan-friendly draft possible by giving teams players in order of preference based on user selections.
That meant picking every team's most frequently selected player and moving down their list of selections if that player was already off the board.
Here is a look at the first round, with some key observations around potential fallers and trade-down candidates.
- Chicago Bears: QB Caleb Williams, USC
- Washington Commanders: QB Drake Maye, North Carolina
- New England Patriots: QB Jayden Daniels, LSU
- Arizona Cardinals: WR Marvin Harrison Jr., Ohio State
- Los Angeles Chargers: WR Malik Nabers, LSU
- New York Giants: WR Rome Odunze, Washington
- Tennessee Titans: OT Joe Alt, Notre Dame
- Atlanta Falcons: EDGE Dallas Turner, Alabama
- Chicago Bears: DI Byron Murphy II, Texas
- New York Jets: TE Brock Bowers, Georgia
- Minnesota Vikings: QB J.J. McCarthy, Michigan
- Denver Broncos: QB Bo Nix, Oregon
- Las Vegas Raiders: CB Quinyon Mitchell, Toledo
- New Orleans Saints: OL Troy Fautanu, Washington
- Indianapolis Colts: CB Cooper DeJean, Iowa
- Seattle Seahawks: C Jackson Powers-Johnson, Oregon
- Jacksonville Jaguars: CB Terrion Arnold, Alabama
- Cincinnati Bengals: DI Jer’Zhan Newton, Illinois
- Los Angeles Rams: EDGE Laiatu Latu, UCLA
- Pittsburgh Steelers: OT Amarius Mims, Georgia
- Miami Dolphins: OT JC Latham, Alabama
- Philadelphia Eagles: CB Nate Wiggins, Clemson
- Minnesota Vikings (from Cleveland): CB Kool-Aid McKinstry, Alabama
- Dallas Cowboys: OL Graham Barton, Duke
- Green Bay Packers: S Tyler Nubin, Minnesota
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: EDGE Jared Verse, Florida State
- Arizona Cardinals (from Houston): C Zach Frazier, West Virginia
- Buffalo Bills: WR Adonai Mitchell, Texas
- Detroit Lions: EDGE Chop Robinson, Penn State
- Baltimore Ravens: OT Tyler Guyton, Oklahoma
- San Francisco 49ers: OL Jordan Morgan, Arizona
- Kansas City Chiefs: WR Ladd McConkey, Georgia
Taliese Fuaga and Olumuyiwa Fashanu are not among the top selections but don’t expect them to fall out of Round 1
Both players are victims of the strong offensive line class and high average draft positions.
Users see these two tackles as options for the New York Jets at No. 10, Las Vegas Raiders at No. 13, Cincinnati Bengals at No. 18 and Los Angeles Rams at No. 19.
Survival bias comes into play here, and while they would be highly coveted if they made it to the 20th selection and beyond, they simply don’t fall that far often enough for users to select them among their top picks.
Chicago Bears are trade-down candidates
Users overwhelmingly want one of the top three receivers with the ninth overall selection, but when those players are off the board, it’s a close race between Byron Murphy II and the top edge defenders.
Given the Bears' lack of picks in this draft, the team is in a position to move down should one of those wide receivers not fall to No. 9.
A team such as the Los Angeles Rams — aggressive traders in the past — could decide to get ahead of the Cincinnati Bengals to ensure they land at least one of Murphy or Johnny Newton on the defensive interior.
Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions could also look to move down, or fans might be disappointed
All of the Packers' top six selections are off the board by the time they come on the clock, and while users have selected Minnesota safety Tyler Nubin a lot of the time, they prefer to get him in the second round.
The Lions' top selections are also off the board at their spot, with Chop Robinson the pick just over 5% of the time. If this happens on draft night, fans would probably prefer they move down.
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