We went 1-2 in the AFC and NFC Championship games after getting cheeky with the Buffalo Bills +3.5 while Patrick Mahomes‘ was status in doubt. This puts us at 42-35 on the season (54.5%).
We got some closing line value on two of our three look-ahead picks, which puts us at 46-20-13 (69.7%) in terms of getting positive line value on the year. Our average line value has been 0.39 points per pick so far.
A line has been hung up for Super Bowl LV, and it makes the Kansas City Chiefs the favorite against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Tampa Bay with a total that exceeds that of the Chiefs’ or Bucs’ first two playoff games. Here. We. Go. Enjoy!
Kansas City Chiefs (-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Point (Eric Eager): You’re seeing -3.5 in many places, but this is available at -115 on BetCris, so you want to make sure you can get that or better. It’s ironic that in a year where we’re struggling to really understand the edge cases of home-field advantage, we finally get a team in the Super Bowl that theoretically has it.