• Top Teaser Bet — Bills -5.5 (from -11.5) vs Packers / Cardinals +9.5 (from +3.5) at Vikings (-105): This isn't a traditional teaser spot. And these aren't your traditional Bills and Packers.
• Green Bay has played the fourth-easiest schedule on defense but ranks 23rd in success rate; Bills offense ranks 1st in EPA%, success rate.
• Potential teaser leg — Giants +9 (from +3) at Seahawks: Not only are they winning, the Giants know how to close out games — 2nd in the NFL in time of possession and 4th in scoring in the second half.
Last updated: Oct. 26, 5:30 p.m.
Estimated reading time: 4 mins
With the sports betting industry evolving and gaining popularity, so is the way you can make NFL wagers. The days of just betting on sides and totals are over.
One popular way bettors try to find value on NFL lines is by playing teasers. An NFL teaser is similar to a parlay; you add multiple legs that must all win for the bet to pay out. The key difference from parlays is that a teaser allows you to buy points like 6, 6.5 or 7 in a direction that lowers risk.
Teaser Tips to Follow
• Never Cross over 0
• Tease through key numbers 3 & 7
• Tease games with lower totals, ideally anything 49 or less.
Here are four teaser legs I like, along with my favorite two-team, six-point teaser bet in Week 8:
Denver Broncos +8.5 (from +2.5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (London)
Both teams are heading into London with a 2-5 record and looking to save their season in Week 8.
While the line is currently -2.5, PFF Greenline shows the Jaguars closer to a 1.5-point favorite. Teasing Denver up to +8.5 gives us added value.
Of Denver's five losses, only one has come by more than a touchdown. Over those five losses, the Broncos have only lost by an average of 4.8 points. Denver's has PFF's highest grade defense (83.2) and ranks 2nd in both defensive EPA/play and Success Rate.
Arizona Cardinals +9.5 (from +3.5) @ Minnesota Vikings
At first glance, the Vikings show a rest advantage coming off their Week 7 bye, but the Cardinals are also coming off 10 days of rest after blowing out the New Orleans Saints last Thursday.
It was the Cardinals' best game of the season, with the return of DeAndre Hopkins putting a spark back in this offense.
Minnesota is 5-1 (3-0 at home), but only two of those wins were by a margin of more than 7 points. The Vikings beat Green Bay in Week 1 by 16, and then in Week 6 defeated the Dolphins — starting their 3rd-string rookie quarterback — by 8.
Both teams have holes in their defense that will allow the opposing offense to keep this game close. Teasing Arizona up to 10 gives us a nice cushion to sit on.
New York Giants +9 (from +3) @ Seattle Seahawks
In my Week 3 teaser piece, I called the Giants frauds. I don't think that is the case anymore. They just keep on winning, sporting a 6-1 record and coming into Week 8 on a four-game ascent.
Through the first two weeks of the season, the Giants' offense ranked 31st in success rate. Since then, they have the 8th-highest success rate and the 13th-highest for the entire season.
Brian Daboll continues to do great things in New York. Not only are they winning ball games, the Giants know how to close out games — 2nd in the NFL in time of possession and 4th in scoring in the second half.
The Giants' defense will have its hands full taking on the Seahawks, who rank in the top in both EPA/Play and success rate. Teasing New York to 9 buys us multiple possessions of wiggle room.
Buffalo Bills -5.5 (from -11.5) vs Green Bay Packers
This is not a traditional spot for a teaser. From what we have seen from the Bills and the Packers, it's too hard to pass up.
In terms of success rate, the Packers rank in the bottom half of the league offensively and defensively, and they have played one of the easier schedules thus far. In fact, defensively, Green Bay has played the 4th-easiest schedule but ranks 23rd in success rate. The Packers have only played one offense that ranks inside the top 10 in success rate, losing to the Vikings in Week 1, 23-7.
The Bills are well rested after the bye and ready to prove once again on the primetime stage they are one of the best teams in the league.
Favorite 2-team, 6-point teaser in Week 8
Bet Bills -5.5 vs Packers / Cardinals +9.5 @ Vikings (-105.)
Kurt's teaser bets went 1-0-1 in Week 7, bringing his record in this space to 5-3-1 (+1.8 units).
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