NFL Week 5 Player Prop Bets: RB Bijan Robinson, WR Zay Flowers and more

• RB Bijan Robinson, Atlanta Falcons: Longest rush over 16.5 yards (-114): The Falcons offense is above average at perfectly blocking runs and already has 15 explosive runs of 10 or more yards this year. Robinson has hit this over in three out of four games.

• RB Kyren Williams, Los Angeles Rams: Longest rush under 13.5 yards (-102): The Eagles have allowed only four runs of 10-plus yards this year and rank in the top-seven in expected points added (EPA) per rush and rushing success rate allowed this season.

• WR Zay Flowers, Baltimore Ravens: Over 43.5 receiving yards (-114): If we look specifically at WR1s, Pittsburgh has been torched by Brandon Aiyuk (120 yards), Amari Cooper (90 yards), Davante Adams (172 yards) and Nico Collins (168 yards).

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Estimated reading time: 5 minutes

RB Bijan Robinson, Atlanta Falcons: Longest rush over 16.5 yards (-114)

• The Houston Texans defense is one of the NFL's worst teams when it comes to allowing perfectly blocked runs this season. Only the Bucs' defense has allowed a higher percentage of runs to be perfectly blocked by the offense.

• The Falcons offense is above average at perfectly blocking runs and already has 15 explosive runs of 10 or more yards this year. Robinson has hit this over in three out of four games.

• The Falcons offense is also dead last in terms of pass rate over expected and even ran the ball in the second half of last week’s game against the Jaguars despite being down multiple scores. 

• Arthur Smith does not seem to trust Desmond Ridder and would rather move the ball by putting it in Robinson’s hands.

RB Kyren Williams, Los Angeles Rams: Longest rush under 13.5 yards (-102)

• We got burned by Brian Robinson on this prop last week, but we’re going back to the well with one of the least explosive rushers in the NFL.

• Williams has just two runs of 10 or more yards on the year, and both came last week against the Colts. The Rams are also projected to be down two offensive linemen in this game.

• The Eagles have allowed only four runs of 10-plus yards this year and rank in the top-seven in expected points added (EPA) per rush and rushing success rate allowed this season.

• Even without Fletcher Cox, the Eagles possess an advantage in the trenches and should be able to dominate in the run game on both sides of the ball.

WR Zay Flowers, Baltimore Ravens: Over 43.5 receiving yards (-114)

• The Steelers have struggled against wide receivers to start the year, allowing 866 yards to the position through four games, the fourth-worst mark in the league.

• If we look specifically at WR1s, Pittsburgh has been torched by Brandon Aiyuk (120 yards), Amari Cooper (90 yards), Davante Adams (172 yards) and Nico Collins (168 yards).

• Even though rain and wind are forecast, this actually plays in Flowers' favor, as his average target depth (aDOT) sits at just 6.1 yards, the shortest among Ravens receivers this year.

• Flowers is also capable of taking a screen pass, making multiple defenders miss and turning it into a big play, as evidenced by his seven missed tackles forced and 4.8 yards after the catch per reception this year.