• New Orleans Saints WR Rashid Shaheed to dominate vs. the pass-funnel Atlanta Falcons? The Saints have a matchup against a Falcons defense that is far easier to throw against than run against, as Atlanta is No. 1 in expected points added (EPA) allowed per rush but only middle of the pack in EPA allowed per dropback.
• QB Justin Fields to lean on WR D.J. Moore in a Chicago Bears win? Moore has one of the best roles in the league on an offense not priced for its current mode of attack. Look for him to exploit a terrific matchup and finish his strong season with a huge last game.
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Story: New Orleans Saints WR Rashid Shaheed dominates vs. the pass-funnel Atlanta Falcons
• We are going back to the well with Rashid Shaheed, who has been terrific in virtually every facet of the game this season.
• Shaheed ranks at the very top of the league in separation grade, catch-point grade and after-the-catch grade. He is also top-10 in separation grade on deep passes.
• However, he served as just a part-time player for most of the season, which is why he hasn't been able to convert those elite fundamentals into elite numbers. But over the last few weeks, he has been the clear second receiver to Chris Olave and has run a route on almost 80% of his team's passing plays.
• The Saints have a matchup against a Falcons defense that is far easier to throw against than run against, as Atlanta is No. 1 in expected points added (EPA) allowed per rush but only middle of the pack in EPA allowed per dropback.
• Shaheed has a terrific matchup in the slot against fill-in Mike Hughes, who has been a bottom-20% corner in terms of his ability to prevent separation.
PointsBet SGP Build: 25-1
- QB Derek Carr, New Orleans Saints: 275+ passing yards
- WR Rashid Shaheed, New Orleans Saints: 110+ receiving yards
Story: New York Giants wide receiver Jalin Hyatt catches deep touchdown vs. the vulnerable Eagles secondary
• Darius Slayton has been the beneficiary of multiple Tyrod Taylor bombs in recent weeks, but Jalin Hyatt has a similar role and leads the NFL in average target depth. Hyatt has also performed well above average at the catch point and after the catch, so he has multiple ways to beat teams for an explosive play.
• Hyatt will go up against an Eagles secondary that has allowed separation at the fourth-highest rate in the NFL while being in the bottom quartile in explosive plays allowed and average target depth.
• Despite not popping off for a big game in recent weeks, Hyatt's role remains secure. He is a threat to pop and hit on a huge play en route to a big day.
PointsBet SGP Build: 35-1
- WR Jalin Hyatt, New York Giants: 80+ receiving yards
- QB Tyrod Taylor, New York Giants: 275+ passing yards
QB Justin Fields leans on WR D.J. Moore in Chicago Bears win
• Since Fields' return from injury, Moore has seen a whopping 34% of the target share as the unquestioned WR1 in Chicago. And over the last six weeks, only the Lions have allowed more yards to wide receivers than the Packers.
• While the Bears began the season as a run-heavy offense — the primary sample built into the Fields props — the team has been passing far more in recent weeks, giving the Bears quarterback more volume to exploit this vulnerable Packers defense.
• Moore has one of the best roles in the league on an offense not priced for its current mode of attack. Look for him to exploit a terrific matchup and finish his strong season with a huge last game.
PointsBet SGP Build: 100-1
- WR D.J. Moore, Chicago Bears: 140+ receiving yards
- WR D.J. Moore, Chicago Bears: 7+ Receptions
- QB Justin Fields, Chicago Bears: 275+ passing yards
- Chicago Bears: Moneyline
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