NFL Week 14 Anytime Touchdown Bets: Alvin Kamara, A.J. Brown among best bets

2T338TT New Orleans Saints running back Alvin Kamara carries the ball against the Jacksonville Jaguars during the second half of a football game, Thursday, Oct. 20, 2023, in New Orleans. (AP Photo/ Butch Dill )

• RB Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints: Kamara has one of the league's most stable red-zone roles. Since returning from suspension in Week 4, he has the second-most red-zone touches at the position. 

• WR A.J. Brown, Philadelphia Eagles: No player has a higher red-zone target rate than A.J. Brown, who has been targeted on 40% of his red-zone routes this season. 

• $150 in bonus bets: New FanDuel customers who bet $5 or more receive $150 in bonus bets if their team wins, plus a profit boost token every day. Join FanDuel today!

Estimated reading time: 2 minutes

RB Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints

• The Saints have turned to the running game over the last four weeks, posting an 80th-percentile run rate over that period.

• This matchup sets up very well for the Saints to feed Kamara, as they face a Carolina Panthers run defense that ranks 32nd in the NFL in expected points added (EPA) allowed per rush and 31st rushing success rate allowed.

• Kamara has one of the league's most stable red-zone roles. Since returning from suspension in Week 4, he has the second-most red-zone touches at the position.

• Ever the threat as a receiver, too, Kamara should get ample opportunities to find the end zone for a Saints offense that is projected to score three-plus touchdowns.

Most red-zone touches among running backs (Week 4-Week 13)
Name Touches Rush attempts Receptions
Christian McCaffrey 49 39 10
Alvin Kamara 35 28 7
David Montgomery 35 35 0
Josh Jacobs 35 31 4
Joe Mixon 34 26 8

WR A.J. Brown, Philadelphia Eagles

• No player has a higher red-zone target rate than A.J. Brown, who has been targeted on 40% of his red-zone routes this season. 

• The Eagles have started to use Brown more in the slot in the red zone, which should match him up against Cowboys slot cornerback Jourdan Lewis. That mismatch is the second-biggest of the week, according to PFF's WR/CB Matchup Tool.

The Eagles' star receiver is a threat to score from anywhere on the field. And in a spot where the Eagles should be scoring often, look for them to find ways to get him into the end zone.

PFF’s WR/CB Matchup Chart is a fantasy football tool that you can use to help you set the best lineups.

Long shot: RB Joshua Kelley, Los Angeles Chargers

Chargers running back Austin Ekeler has struggled this season, with his 57.2 overall grade ranking seventh-worst at his position through 13 weeks. And as these struggles continue, head coach Brandon Staley has been vocal about potentially giving more work to Joshua Kelley.

• Kelly began to eat into Ekeler’s work last week, as the two had a 57%-43% snap share, a long way from the regular 70%-30% split that had once been the norm. 

• Kelly has a great matchup against a Broncos run defense that ranks in the bottom quarter of the league in nearly every efficiency metric. He's priced for a more diminished role, so there is likely some value in betting on Kelly to score in this matchup.

Betting Featured Tools
  • PFF's Best Bets Tool reveals the bets PFF's data and algorithms give the biggest edge to within spread, total, player prop, and moneyline markets.

    Available with

  • Power Rankings are PFF’s NFL power ratings based on weekly player grades in each facet of play. These power rankings are adjusted based on coach, quarterback and the market each season.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NFL game.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NCAA game.

    Available with

Subscriptions

Unlock the 2024 Fantasy Draft Kit, with Live Draft Assistant, Fantasy Mock Draft Sim, Rankings & PFF Grades

$24.99/mo
OR
$119.99/yr