• RB Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans: only three players have a higher percentage of red-zone touches, so we should be seeing plenty of Henry within close range in Week 12.
• RB Rachaad White, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: White has accounted for a remarkable 93% of the touches from within the red zone and is top-three in carries inside the 10-yard line, as well.
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RB Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans
• It has been a few weeks since King Henry's last touchdown, but he has faced two of the toughest run defenses in the league in the Buccaneers and Jaguars.
• Week 12 brings a matchup against a Panthers team that ranks last in the NFL in expected points added (EPA) allowed per play and rushing success rate allowed. This should most make life easy for Henry and the running attack while elevating the Titans' offensive floor, meaning that they should find themselves in the red zone with plenty of opportunities to score.
• Further, only three players have a higher percentage of red-zone touches, so we should be seeing plenty of Henry within close range. With prices responding to matchups far tougher than the one he is set to face this Sunday, Henry is good value to find twine.
RB Rachaad White, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
• The Colts have struggled to defend the run this season, ranking 30th among defenses in rushing success rate allowed and 26th in EPA allowed per run play.
• And from within the red zone, teams have run 12% more than expected against the Colts, as teams rely on their running backs to punch the ball in against them.
• White has accounted for a remarkable 93% of the touches from within the red zone and is top-three in carries inside the 10-yard line, as well. But White also presents a receiving threat from within close range, as he ranks third in targets inside the 10-yard line.
Long shot: TE Trey Mcbride, Arizona Cardinals
• No team has a worse PFF grade and success rate defending tight ends than the Los Angeles Rams. In Week 12, they face McBride, who has a 30% target share over the last few weeks and has emerged as a clear favorite target of Kyler Murray.
• McBride has also dominated in the red zone, where he has earned the fourth-most separation of any wide receiver or tight end this season.
• In an up-tempo matchup between two good offenses and struggling defenses, look for the Cardinals to often find themselves in the red zone. Murray will look for his new favorite target in an area in the field in which he excels and where the matchup is extremely favorable.
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