• WR Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins: Hill has one of the league's most robust target shares. He notably leads the position in red-zone target rate, as the veteran pass-catcher has been targeted on 38% of his routes run inside the red zone.
• TE David Njoku, Cleveland Browns: Njoku has emerged as one of Joe Flacco‘s favorite targets. The Browns tight end has been targeted on close to 30% of his routes since Flacco took over, the 10th-highest rate among all skill playersover that span.
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Estimated reading time: 3 minutes
WR Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins
• Tyreek Hill has scored only once in the last five games, likely depressing his pricing such that he is once again plus-money to score.
• Hill has one of the league's most robust target shares. He notably leads the position in red-zone target rate, as the veteran pass-catcher has been targeted on 38% of his routes run inside the red zone.
• The totals are lower for this game, and the Chiefs defense has been stout all season. However, the Dolphins are sure to find their way into the red zone and will all but certainly feed Hill. And that's not even to mention that the speedy receiver is always a threat to score from anywhere on the field.
TE David Njoku, Cleveland Browns
• The Texans defense has filtered targets to tight ends. The group allowed the second-most targets and yards to the position over the regular season.
• Enter David Njoku, who has emerged as one of Joe Flacco‘s favorite targets. The Browns tight end has been targeted on close to 30% of his routes since Flacco took over, the 10th-highest rate among all skill playersover that span.
• That target rate remains consistent when the Browns have reached the red zone, too, as Njoku has been targeted on 31% of his red-zone routes.
• With books still pricing Njoku for his role with the previous Cleveland quarterbacks, look for Flacco to continue looking Njoku’s way, especially in the red zone.
RB Rachaad White, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
• While the Eagles fielded one of the very best run defenses in the NFL early in the season, the team has struggled immensely over the last couple of months, ranking third-worst among defenses in success rate allowed and second-worst in expected points added (EPA) allowed per rush.
• While the Bucs haven’t been a model of efficiency running the ball this season, they have nonetheless stuck to playing a run-heavy style, running the ball 1.5% more than expected.
• Not only are the Bucs particularly run-heavy, but their distribution of touches is highly concentrated. White completely owns this backfield. This is especially true in the red zone, where Rachad White has accounted for 95% of the running back touches, the highest rate of any back in the NFL.
• When the Bucs get in close, they get the ball into White’s hands. And he should have some room to find the end zone against a struggling Eagles run defense on wild-card weekend.
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