• WR Brandon Aiyuk, San Francisco 49ers: Over 4.5 receptions (+116)
• TE Noah Gray, Kansas City Chiefs: Over 1.5 receptions (-106)
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Estimated reading time: 3 minutes
Jauan Jennings, San Francisco 49ers: First reception over 10.5 yards (-115)
Looking at the season-long numbers, the median yardage on Jennings’ first reception in any game this season has been 17 yards. Additionally, out of his 25 total catches on the season, 13 have come in third-down situations, where Purdy is looking to throw the ball further down the field. He also has an 11.0-yard overall ADOT when targeted this season, showing that he is utilized in a downfield threat role as well.
Brandon Aiyuk, San Francisco 49ers: Over 4.5 receptions (+116)
As seen in the picture, Aiyuk has the most targets and receptions against man coverage this year among any 49ers player. Much has been said about L’Jarius Sneed and the terrific work he’s done against opposing WR1s, but Aiyuk has established himself as one of the best separators in the game this season, and he will likely see a lot of single coverage this game.
The Chiefs are likely to be blitz Purdy as well, meaning he will need to get the ball out quickly to receivers who get open fast. Aiyuk fits that mold, and even if he gets the shadow treatment from Sneed, his reliability against man will be leaned on in this game.
Noah Gray, Kansas City Chiefs: Over 1.5 receptions (-106)
In a similar way to betting Brandon Aiyuk, Noah Gray has the fourth most receptions against zone coverage this year. The 49ers employ a pretty heavy zone scheme as well, which likely won’t change too much in the Super Bowl. The Chiefs have also leaned more on their 12 and 13 personnel packages in the playoffs because of their lack of talent at the WR position.
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