• WR Rashod Bateman in for a big day? Should the Ravens be playing from behind or playing up-tempo in a shootout, Bateman, now with a bigger role in the offense, looks primed to be a factor in this Baltimore passing game.
• Detroit Lions RB Jahmyr Gibbs: Gibbs has been one of the best runners in the NFL this season. The rookie running back has produced the sixth-most rushing yards over expected to go along with one of the NFL's better marks in expected points added (EPA) per rush.
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Estimated reading time: 2 minutes
Story: WR Rashod Bateman breaks out on a big day for the Baltimore Ravens passing attack
• Rashod Bateman‘s underlying numbers are very strong, as he leads the NFL in PFF separation grade. Facing the Chiefs man-heavy defense, Bateman should be able to create opportunities for himself in this crucial game.
• Bateman has seen his snap share slowly increase over the season (and he played the second-most snaps among Ravens receivers in 2022). The current pricing reflects Bateman's early-season role and doesn't really factor in the underlying numbers that have yet to lead to production.
• Bateman has yet to have his breakout game this season. Should the Ravens be playing from behind or playing up-tempo in a potential shootout, Bateman, now with a bigger role in the offense, looks primed to be a factor in this passing game.
DraftKings SGP Build: 25-1 on DraftKings
- WR Rashod Bateman, Baltimore Ravens: 60+ receiving yards
- QB Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens: 275+ passing yards
Story: Detroit Lions RB Jahmyr Gibbs has a day, but the San Francisco 49ers emerge victorious
• Jahmyr Gibbs has been one of the best runners in the NFL this season. The rookie running back has produced the sixth-most rushing yards over expected to go along with one of the NFL's better marks in expected points added (EPA) per rush.
• Part of this efficiency lies in Gibbs' explosive ability, where he leads the NFL in explosive rushes per carry. He does not need many carries to rack up big numbers, as only a few explosive rushes can still yield a huge rushing day.
• Gibbs has a sneaky good matchup against a 49ers defense that has been in the bottom quartile of virtually every run-defense metric, including EPA allowed per rush and rushing success rate allowed.
• Add up these angles, and there lies an appealing inverse correlation with the Niners winning and Gibbs having a productive day.
PointsBet SGP Build: 45-1
- RB Jahmyr Gibbs: 95+ rushing yards
- San Francisco 49ers: -13.5
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