• RB Gus Edwards, Baltimore Ravens: Edwards has a terrific matchup against a Kansas City Chiefs defense that has allowed the second-most yards per carry and fifth-most expected points added (EPA) per rush this season.
• WR Amon-Ra St. Brown, Detroit Lions: The star receiver boasts a massive 35% share of the red-zone targets and a 34% share of the targets inside the opponents' 10-yard line. Both marks leave him at the very top of the league.
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RB Gus Edwards, Baltimore Ravens
• Over the regular season, Raheem Mostert and Christian McCaffrey were the only running backs who scored more rushing touchdowns than Gus Edwards, who found the end zone 13 times as a rusher.
• Edwards has a terrific matchup against a Kansas City Chiefs defense that has allowed the second-most yards per carry and fifth-most expected points added (EPA) per rush this season.
• Edwards has lost some work to Justice Hill in recent weeks, likely pushing his price down such that we can bet this at +130. However, his red-zone role remains rock solid, and he figures to see plenty of carries from within close in this AFC championship showdown.
Long shot: WR Amon-Ra St. Brown, Detroit Lions
• St. Brown has the third-best matchup of the weekend, according to PFF’s WR/CB Matchup Tool.
• Not only does St. Brown have a terrific matchup, but he is also QB Jared Goff‘s most reliable red-zone target. The star receiver boasts a massive 35% share of the red-zone targets and a 34% share of the targets inside the opponents' 10-yard line. Both marks leave him at the very top of the league.
• This game has a 51-point total, so there should be plenty of scoring opportunities. Look for the Lions and Goff to continue to find ways to scheme the Sun God touches, especially in the red zone.