• The Chiefs dynasty isn't going anywhere: PFF simulations give the Kansas City Chiefs a 75.08% chance of making the playoffs.
• There's still an uphill climb for Carolina: In 10,000 simulations, the Carolina Panthers win just 6.3 games on average in 2024, the lowest mark among teams.
• Get a head start on fantasy football: Use PFF's fantasy football mock draft simulator to create real live mock draft simulations to prepare for your live draft!
The 2024 NFL schedule release set off a chain of events, culminating in sportsbooks offering spreads for every 2024 NFL regular-season game.
The power rankings below provide relatively clear tiers on the market assessment of each NFL team’s outlook in 2024, offering a comprehensive view of team standings and future prospects. All of the below information and more can be found in PFF's power rankings tool, which is available with a PFF+ subscription.
Key
PFF Power Rankings: The relative quality of each team as defined by point spread team ratings.
Point spread team ratings: The number of points each team would be a favorite or underdog to an average team on a neutral field.
Point spread QB ratings: The number of points each QB contributes to the point spread team rating.
Strength of Schedule: The relative difficulty of each team's schedule based on point spread team ratings of opponents — 1 is hardest, 32 is easiest.
Projections: probabilities based on 10,000 season simulations given team point spread ratings, strength of schedule and team records.
JUMP TO A TEAM:
ARZ | ATL | BLT | BUF | CAR | CIN | CHI | CLE | DEN | DAL | DET | GB | HOU | IND | JAX | KC | LVR | LAC | LAR | MIA | MIN | NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF | SEA | TB | TEN | WSH
1. San Francisco 49ers
- Point spread rating: 6.4
- Point spread QB Rating: 3.5
- Strength of Schedule: 14
- Projected avg. wins: 10.7
- Projected chance to make playoffs: 75.04%
- Projected chance to win division: 54.61%
- Projected chance to win conference championship: 18.96%
- Projected chance to win Win Super Bowl: 10.43%
2. Kansas City Chiefs
- Point spread rating: 6.1
- Point spread QB Rating: 7
- Strength of Schedule: 12
- Projected avg. wins: 10.8
- Projected chance to make playoffs: 75.08%
- Projected chance to win division: 57.97%
- Projected chance to win conference championship: 17.28%
- Projected chance to win Win Super Bowl: 9.44%
3. Baltimore Ravens
- Point spread rating: 4.5
- Point spread QB Rating: 6.5
- Strength of Schedule: 4
- Projected avg. wins: 10.4
- Projected chance to make playoffs: 67.82%
- Projected chance to win division: 41.10%
- Projected chance to win conference championship: 13.92%
- Projected chance to win Win Super Bowl: 7.42%
4. Buffalo Bills
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