Utilizing our player props tool has been beneficial to sports bettors' bankrolls to start the 2020 season, as the ability to adjust both number and price means you are always certain of the expected value for each prop bet.
Totals continue to trend down, as the mean this week is the fourth-lowest of 2020. This sits right next to the mean we had last week, which saw the majority of games go under their game totals.
Spreads are also much wider than in all previous weeks, as we have quite a few games that could turn into blowouts. There are few, if any, weather concerns showing up, which makes all games playable from a player props perspective.
Let’s dive into the best player props to make as we head into the main slate of Week 13. If you would like to hear a full discussion of all player props for this Sunday’s slate, make sure to listen to the PFF Daily Betting podcast.
Ryan Tannehill over 12.5 Rush Yards
Tannehill has bounced between quality rushing performances and ones where he hasn’t produced anything at all.
He has gone over 12.5 rushing yards in four of his 10 games this season, with the common theme being scrambles from the pocket. He has produced outsized gains with his legs in games where he has had at least two scrambles. Two of these games have come against blitz-heavy teams like the Bills and Ravens, but the Browns have the seventh-lowest blitz rate in the NFL. They are 24th in pressure percentage but have the 10th-best opponent-adjusted pass-rush grade.
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