We had a decent week last week, with the Chiefs surviving against Carolina, and Tennessee and Miami winning close games. We move on to week 10. Here is the tale of the tape so far:
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After Week 1
Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl: +550 after Week 1, now +350
Seattle Seahawks to win the NFC West and Super Bowl: +190 and +1400 after Week 1, now -210 and +1000
Green Bay Packers to win the Super Bowl: +2600 after Week 1, now +1000
Tennessee Titans to win the AFC South: +125 after Week 1, now -190
After Week 2
Green Bay Packers to win the NFC North: -140 after Week 2, now -750
Philadelphia Eagles to miss the playoffs: -170 after Week 2, now +250
Arizona Cardinals to make the playoffs: +104 after Week 2, now -160
After Week 3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the NFC South: +100 after Week 3, now +185
New England Patriots to win the AFC East: +125 after Week 3, now +2100
After Week 4
Cleveland Browns to make the playoffs: -182 after Week 4, now -138
After Week 5
Dallas Cowboys to win the NFC East: -125 after Week 5, now +850
After Week 6
Baltimore Ravens to win the AFC North: -165 after Week 6, now unavailable (COVID-19 situation for Pittsburgh)
After Week 7
Washington Football Team to win the NFC East: +425 after Week 7, now +750
After Week 8
Miami Dolphins to make the playoffs: +184 after Week 8, now +124
Our futures bet after Week 9
Indianapolis Colts +114 to miss the playoffs
We give the Colts just a 47% chance to make the playoffs, as they are currently competing with Las Vegas, Miami and Cleveland — a team they have already lost to this year.
Having faced the second-easiest schedule in the NFL through nine weeks (and the easiest through eight weeks), the Colts — starting with Thursday Night Football against the Titans — have the 11th-most difficult schedule the rest of the way, while Las Vegas, Miami and Cleveland all have schedules that are easier than the average slate. While Titans -190 to win the AFC South still has value, as well, this is a way to buy into it at a plus price.
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