• Bet the Philadelphia Eagles to score before they punt (+112 on FanDuel): The Eagles have been one of the league's most dominant teams on scripted plays this season. They finished second to only the Detroit Lions in scripted drive quality and have scored on their opening drive 63% of the time.
• Bet Marquez Valdes-Scantling longest reception of the game (+1000 on DraftKings): As one of the few healthy Chiefs receivers left, look for Mahomes to target MVS deep a few times. And if the speedy wideout comes down with one, that might just be enough for this prop to hit.
• No sweat first bet: New Fan Duel customers can get up to $3000 back in bonus bets if they sign up before Super Bowl 57.
Last updated: Friday, Feb. 9
Bet: Philadelphia Eagles to score before they punt (+112 on FanDuel)
• The Eagles have been one of the league's most dominant teams on scripted plays this season. They finished second to only the Detroit Lions in scripted drive quality and have scored on their opening drive 63% of the time.
• Meanwhile, the Chiefs have fielded the 10th-worst defense against scripted plays, so there is nothing from a matchup perspective to suggest that the Chiefs will be able to stop the Eagles.
• At +112 and building in that a fluky opening turnover won’t throw off this bet, I like the Eagles to score early on, just as they have all season.
Bet: Philadelphia Eagles players to catch a pass on their first drive — A.J. Brown (+130 on FanDuel) & DeVonta Smith (+150 on FanDuel)
• Building off the analysis above, it seems wise to bet on the Eagles' star wideouts catching a pass on the first drive.
• As the opening drive is scripted, teams often emphasize certain players and scheme the ball to them early.
• Throughout the season, A.J. Brown has been emphasized as the alpha early, earning a target on nearly 30% of his routes. Not far behind is DeVonta Smith, at 23%, but he also leads his teammates in routes run on scripted drives.
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