Player props have officially entered the mainstream because they are the easiest way for new bettors to profit in sports betting. Over 800 player props are currently loaded into PFF’s prop tool, which doesn’t even model every single player prop offering currently available at all sportsbooks. Being able to quickly sift through the best and worst bets in an automated way is one of the easiest ways to cultivate sports betting success.
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Due to the sheer volume of listings, player props are often the easiest bets to beat consistently, as sportsbooks have a difficult time keeping up with late-breaking news while digesting how the latest information impacts every player expected to be on the field.
Things turned around in Week 4, as this article went 3-1, falling one Josh Allen passing touchdown away from a perfect week. This brings us to 6-8 for -1.8 units in 2021.
Using the PFF prop tool as a guide, let’s dive into the best values on the board for Sunday’s main slate of NFL action.
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MINNESOTA VIKINGS QB KIRK COUSINS OVER 2.5 PASSING TD’s (+148)
Everything is setting up for Cousins to have another quality performance against his favorite punching bag team — the Detroit Lions. Dalvin Cook is questionable and after leaving last week’s game early, he could skip this easy matchup or have limited touches. Detroit’s defense is exploitable everywhere but especially in their secondary, where Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen have two of the best matchups based on PFF’s WR/CB matchup chart.
Minnesota's difficult schedule going forward should be an afterthought for one week, as the Vikings should look like contenders against the worst team in the NFL. If the spread is too much, get a piece of Cousins passing game production for this game.
CHICAGO BEARS RB DAMIEN WILLIAMS UNDER 59.5 RUSHING YARDS (-115)