Island games are the highlight of any NFL week for betting enthusiasts. And as the industry continues to grow, some of the most discussed moments belong to these single-game opportunities.
Leverage PFF's predictive betting models and player props tools to identify the best betting opportunities in the Week 11 Monday Night Football contest between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the New York Giants.
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PLAYER PROPS
One of the easiest transitions into sports betting is through player props, as fantasy applications help evaluate betting opportunities.
One way to consistently find defined edges is by utilizing PFF's player props tool, as the ability to adjust both number and price means you are always certain of the expected value for each prop bet. Let’s dive into the best player props to bet for Monday Night Football.
QB TOM BRADY: Over 2.5 passing TDs (+123)
Brady has been putting up MVP-level numbers this season, especially when it comes to his touchdown rate and production.
Not only has Brady covered this 2.5-touchdown number in five of nine games this season, but his 27 total passing touchdowns lead all quarterbacks through Week 10, while his 7.2% touchdown rate ranks second.
The Giants' secondary also offers the perfect environment for Brady to explode in prime time — this is a defense that ranks 20th league-wide in overall coverage grade and 28th in red-zone coverage grade.
According to PFF’s player props tool, Brady has a 59% chance of throwing at least three touchdowns against the Giants, which is a positive expected value at +123 juice.
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