The 2020 NFL Draft has come and gone, and while no single non-quarterback has much of an effect on the projected win totals of any NFL team, that doesn’t mean sentiments have not shifted as a result of what we saw last weekend.
We’ve done a little bit of work on win totals when they initially came out, as well as two specific looks at Vikings UNDER 9 wins and Raiders UNDER 7.5 wins. With the actual schedule not coming out until next month, these are still a little tricky from a projection standpoint. But here are a few thoughts on each win total as we patiently wait until the fall (from BetOnline):
[Editor’s note: If you haven't already, be sure to pick up a copy of PFF's 2020 NFL Draft Guide by subscribing to PFF EDGE or ELITE. EDGE and ELITE subscribers also have access to PFF Greenline, an online hub that uses exclusive game and player data to make projections on NFL game spreads, moneyline and over/under.]
Arizona Cardinals — 7.5 (-110 over/-110 under)
Given how much they improved both in the trade market and in the draft, the OVER seems enticing. However, in that division, it still feels like a trap to assume a three-win improvement from 2018 to 2019. Pass.