A week ago in this space, I looked at the five teams who had the biggest jump in year-over-year fantasy production from 2015 to 2016, looking for which offenses might be less productive in 2017. The obvious next step, then, is the corollary — which teams fell off by the most last year? Which teams might have more to offer in 2017 than in 2016?
(As a reminder, we’re only looking at offensive fantasy production, so all references to teamwide fantasy points mean only quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end — no kicker or defense.)
The numbers
I’ll rerun the chart from last week — teams since 2006, sorted by their percent change in team fantasy scoring from Year 1 to Year 2, along with the change they went on to make in Year 3.
| Change in team fantasy scoring | |||
| # of teams | Third year | Third year % change | |
| Increase by 40+% | 5 | -46.8 | -4.00% |
| Increase by 30-39.99% | 19 | -121.6 | -11.18% |
| Increase by 20-29.99% | 24 | -86.2 | -8.02% |
| Increase by 10-19.99% | 34 | -42.9 | -4.01% |
| Increase by less than 10% | 71 | -0.9 | -0.08% |
| Decrease by less than 10% | 74 | 24.6 | +2.52% |
| Decrease by 10-19.99% | 41 | 98.5 | +10.51% |
| Decrease by 20-29.99% | 11 | 149.6 | +17.71% |
| Decrease by 30+% | 7 | 204.9 | +28.00% |
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