DFS success boils down to finding the highest-scoring fantasy football players at each position in a given week. With close to 20 playable options at quarterback and tight end, along with even more at the running back and wide receiver positions, it is a feat in itself to identify one position correctly.
To finish at the top of a DFS contest, you must hit on basically all skill positions and circumvent the randomness associated with selecting defenses. Doing all of this while also fitting under the confines of a salary cap makes DFS one of the most difficult setups to beat consistently, especially for large-field tournaments.
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SALARY-ADJUSTED FANTASY PERFORMANCE
One of the best ways to find value opportunities on a given slate is to start with the salary-adjusted expectation for all players. Because DraftKings has been around for over six years, we now have a worthwhile dataset of player salaries and their resulting fantasy performances. By figuring out the expectation based on each player’s salary and position, we can compare their salary-expected fantasy performance to PFF’s fantasy projections. Doing this highlights the best value plays based on salary.
Player | Position | Team | DK Salary | Salary Expectation | Proj. Fantasy Pts | Proj. Above Salary Expectation |
Tyler Johnson | WR | TB | 3100 | 4.19 | 11.99 | 7.80 |
Brandin Cooks | WR | HST | 5700 | 12.41 | 17.88 | 5.47 |
Darrell Henderson | HB | LA | 6500 | 15.04 | 20.21 | 5.17 |
Calvin Ridley | WR | ATL | 6600 | 15.25 | 19.91 | 4.66 |
Jakobi Meyers | WR | NE | 5100 | 10.51 | 14.88 | 4.37 |
Chris Godwin | WR | TB | 6400 | 14.62 | 18.61 | 3.99 |
Tyler Boyd | WR | CIN | 4800 | 9.56 | 13.49 | 3.93 |
Van Jefferson | WR | LA | 3900 | 6.72 | 10.46 | 3.74 |
Darnell Mooney | WR | CHI | 4800 | 9.56 | 13.08 | 3.52 |
Cole Kmet | TE | CHI | 3100 | 4.86 | 8.23 | 3.37 |
Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 3900 | 6.72 | 10.03 | 3.31 |
Mack Hollins | WR | MIA | 3000 | 3.87 | 7.11 | 3.24 |
Allen Robinson II | WR | CHI | 4900 | 9.88 | 12.99 | 3.11 |
Kenny Stills | WR | NO | 3200 | 4.50 | 7.51 | 3.01 |
PASS-CATCHING BLOWUP MODEL