DFS success boils down to finding the highest-scoring fantasy football players at each position in a given week. With close to 20 playable options at quarterback and tight end, along with even more at the running back and wide receiver positions, it is a feat in itself to identify one position correctly.
To finish at the top of a DFS contest, you must hit on basically all skill positions and circumvent the randomness associated with selecting defenses. Doing all of this while also fitting under the confines of a salary cap makes DFS one of the most difficult setups to beat consistently, especially for large-field tournaments.
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SALARY-ADJUSTED FANTASY PERFORMANCE
One of the best ways to find value opportunities on a given slate is to start with the salary-adjusted expectation for all players. Because DraftKings has been around for over six years, we now have a worthwhile dataset of player salaries and their resulting fantasy performances. By figuring out the expectation based on each player’s salary and position, we can compare their salary-expected fantasy performance to PFF’s fantasy projections. Doing this highlights the best value plays based on salary.
Player | Position | Team | DK Salary | Salary Expectation | Proj. Fantasy Pts | Proj. Above Salary Expectation |
D'Ernest Johnson | HB | CLV | 4700 | 9.31 | 19.45 | 10.14 |
Tyler Johnson | WR | TB | 3300 | 4.80 | 11.17 | 6.37 |
Najee Harris | HB | PIT | 7900 | 19.41 | 24.87 | 5.46 |
Jared Cook | TE | LAC | 3200 | 5.16 | 9.91 | 4.75 |
D.J. Moore | WR | CAR | 6300 | 14.27 | 18.61 | 4.34 |
Hayden Hurst | TE | ATL | 2800 | 3.90 | 7.72 | 3.82 |
Devin Singletary | HB | BUF | 4700 | 9.31 | 12.95 | 3.64 |
Dan Arnold | TE | JAX | 3500 | 6.11 | 9.63 | 3.52 |
Mike Evans | WR | TB | 6900 | 16.17 | 19.63 | 3.46 |
James Washington | WR | PIT | 3500 | 5.44 | 8.88 | 3.44 |
Jonnu Smith | TE | NE | 2500 | 2.95 | 6.27 | 3.32 |
Tyler Conklin | TE | MIN | 3400 | 5.79 | 9.09 | 3.30 |
Jarvis Landry | WR | CLV | 5200 | 10.80 | 14.09 | 3.29 |
Jakobi Meyers | WR | NE | 4800 | 9.54 | 12.81 | 3.27 |
Kyle Pitts | TE | ATL | 5800 | 13.37 | 16.55 | 3.18 |
Amari Cooper | WR | DAL | 6200 | 13.96 | 17.05 | 3.09 |
James Conner | HB | ARZ | 6300 | 14.36 | 17.35 | 2.99 |
PASS-CATCHING BLOWUP MODEL