Week 6 of the college football season is here, as is another weekday slate where we can find value and get picks in before lines start to sharpen up.
As a reminder, I use my own model to create projections for these games. While my model has done well this season, I also highly suggest you also check out PFF Greenline, PFF’s betting tool. Remember, the more information you can get, the better prepared you will be when making your selections. Information is gold when you’re looking for edges and betting value.
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Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (-18) VS. Arkansas State Red Wolves
Pick: Coastal Carolina -18
Projection: Coastal Carolina -19.2
Pick: Over 72
Cover Probability: 55.8%
The Chanticleers of Coastal Carolina have been sailing smoothly through this season — only a close contest against Buffalo didn’t end in a blowout. Coastal Carolina ranks second in the nation in overall PFF offensive grade (92.1).
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Leading the Chanticleers is QB Grayson McCall, who is ranked second in the nation in passing grade (91.8) and third in adjusted completion percentage (83.7). He rolled his ankle during the Louisiana Monroe game, but according to all reports he could have continued to play, so this shouldn’t be an issue.