• RB D'Ernest Johnson, Jacksonville Jaguars: Under 13.5 rushing yards — Most of Johnson's work has come in the passing game, and even when given opportunities in the run game, he has recorded just 2.5 yards per carry.
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Estimated Reading Time: 2 minutes
This fixture between the Baltimore Ravens and Jacksonville Jaguars could go a long way toward deciding the AFC's No. 1 seed. The 10-3 Ravens meet the 8-5 Jaguars, with the Miami Dolphins being the only other team to have a better record than Jacksonville in this half of the league.
Wind is expected to play a factor in this game, and for two teams that have run the ball often this year, both will be facing run defenses that have limited opposing running backs to low totals all season.
Baltimore comes into the game healthy, with only Kyle Hamilton listed as questionable. Jacksonville will be missing some secondary pieces, as cornerback Tyson Campbell remains on the sideline and safety Andre Cisco is nursing a groin injury, opening the door for the Ravens' downfield passing attack if the wind is not as strong as reported.
There may be some offensive line issues for the Jaguars, as well. Ezra Cleveland and Walker Little — the left side of the offensive line — are listed as questionable, with neither putting in a full practice this week.
RB D’Ernest Johnson Under 13.5 Rushing Yards (-114 FanDuel)
D’Ernest Johnson has earned some extra playing time in recent weeks ahead of Tank Bigsby as the backup option to bell-cow back Travis Etienne. Most of Johnson's work has come in the passing game, including 56 of his 101 snaps since Week 10.
Even when given opportunities to carry the ball, he has recorded just 2.5 yards per carry, so even this line may seem like a small number. It could certainly be busted with one play, but Johnson's chances should be low against a good Ravens run defense and a team that usually controls the time-of-possession battle.