• TE Dalton Schultz, under 31.5 receiving yards: Schultz is arguably the fourth option in Houston's receiving corps. And while Tank Dell is a bit banged up coming into the game, Schultz still ranks seventh in target rate on the team.
• RB Antonio Gibson, under 14.5 receiving yards: The Falcons have allowed the fewest receiving yards to opposing running backs this season. Through five weeks, they’ve allowed 78 receiving yards, an average of 15.8 yards a game.
• WR Calvin Ridley, longest reception over 21.5 yards: Ridley has a 13.6-yard average depth of target this season, which shows he’s been getting looks down the field from Trevor Lawrence. It's also the highest ADOT of any player in Jacksonville.
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Estimated reading time: 5 minutes
TE Dalton Schultz, Houston Texans: Under 31.5 receiving yards (-114)
• The Saints field one of the best pass defenses in the NFL, especially against tight ends. Through five weeks, New Orleans has allowed only 99 yards to tight ends — less than 20 yards a game. Only one player has surpassed 31 yards against them so far.
• Overall, the Saints rank sixth in expected points added (EPA) allowed per dropback and fourth in success rate allowed, showing how stingy they are as a unit.
• Schultz is arguably the fourth option in Houston's receiving corps. And while Tank Dell is a bit banged up coming into the game, Schultz still ranks seventh in target rate on the team.
RB Antonio Gibson, Washington Commanders: Under 14.5 receiving yards (-110)
• The Falcons have allowed the fewest receiving yards to opposing running backs this season. Through five weeks, they’ve allowed 78 receiving yards — an average of 15.8 yards a game.
• Antonio Gibson has only gone over this total in games where the Commanders have played with a super negative game script, such as the Broncos or Bears games when they were down multiple scores early.
• This game's spread is currently 2.5, which means the market believes it will be close. Additionally, the Falcons don’t possess the firepower to score a ton of points early, which means the Commanders should be able to hang around. If that’s the case, we’ll likely see more Brian Robinson than Gibson.
WR Calvin Ridley, Jacksonville Jaguars: Longest reception over 21.5 yards (-114)
• The Colts defense has allowed 23 explosive plays of 15 or more yards, the most in the NFL through five weeks. And the Jags possess the advantage on the outside in this one, as Calvin Ridley and Christian Kirk are better than the Colts' outside CB duo of Dallis Flowers and JuJu Brents.
• Ridley has a 13.6-yard average depth of target this season, which shows he’s been getting looks down the field from Trevor Lawrence. It's also the highest ADOT of any player in Jacksonville. In Week 1, when these two teams matched up, Ridley dominated for 108 yards and had two catches longer than 22 yards.